Blue Devils vs Rebels Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Thursday 01-02-2025

The Ole Miss Rebels are heavy favorites, expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -17), in their Gator Bowl game versus the Duke Blue Devils. An over/under of 50 points has been set for the matchup.

The Rebels last played against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, and they emerged victorious 26-14. The Blue Devils picked up a 23-17 win last time out against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

Duke vs. Ole Miss Game Info

When: Thursday, January 2, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida
TV: ESPN
Favorite: Ole Miss -17
Total: 50 points

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Duke vs. Ole Miss Matchup Stats

Ole Miss		Duke
521.5 (6th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	341.4 (110th)
313.9 (5th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	344.2 (23rd)
177.9 (44th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	96.5 (127th)
343.6 (3rd)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	244.9 (43rd)
11 (16th)	Turnovers (Rank)	18 (64th)
22 (26th)	Takeaways (Rank)	26 (8th)

Duke vs. Ole Miss Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Ole Miss 33, Duke 17

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Duke +17 (model predicted spread is 15.5 points)

Ole Miss has posted a 6-5-0 record against the spread this season.
The Rebels have a 3-2 record against the spread when favored by 17 points or more this season.
Duke has an 8-3-0 record against the spread this season.
The Blue Devils are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 17 points or greater this year.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Push (model projecting 50 points)

In four games this season, Ole Miss and its opponent have combined for more than 50 points.
There have been four Blue Devils games this season with more than 50 points scored.
The point total average for Ole Miss games this season is 58.5, 8.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
The over/under for this game is 0.7 points higher than the average scoring total for Blue Devils games (49.3).

Team Leaders

Ole Miss Team Leaders

Jaxson Dart: 3,875 PASS YDS / 322.9 YPG / 68.6% / 25 TD / 6 INT / 112 CAR / 453 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
Henry Parrish Jr.: 131 CAR / 693 YDS / 77 YPG / 10 TD / 15 REC / 82 YDS / 9.1 YPG / 0 TD
Tre Harris: 61 REC / 1,063 YDS / 132.9 YPG / 7 TD
Cayden Lee: 49 REC / 817 YDS / 68.1 YPG / 2 TD
Jordan Watkins: 42 REC / 726 YDS / 60.5 YPG / 7 TD
Princely Umanmielen: 33 TKL / 10 TFL / 10.5 SACK
Chris Paul Jr.: 86 TKL / 9 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Trey Amos: 45 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

Duke Team Leaders

Maalik Murphy: 2,932 PASS YDS / 244.3 YPG / 60.3% / 26 TD / 12 INT
Star Thomas: 213 CAR / 871 YDS / 72.6 YPG / 7 TD / 20 REC / 153 YDS / 15.3 YPG / 1 TD
Peyton Jones: 74 CAR / 299 YDS / 27.2 YPG / 3 TD / 7 REC / 81 YDS / 9 YPG / 1 TD
Jordan Moore: 50 REC / 798 YDS / 66.5 YPG / 7 TD
Eli Pancol: 55 REC / 741 YDS / 61.8 YPG / 9 TD
Sean Brown: 37 REC / 394 YDS / 32.8 YPG / 2 TD
Wesley Williams: 42 TKL / 7 TFL / 7 SACK
Ozzie Nicholas: 84 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Terry Moore: 63 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT / 3 PD