Pirates vs Wolfpack Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 12-28-2024

The NC State Wolfpack are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7), in their Military Bowl game versus the East Carolina Pirates. The over/under for this one is set at 61 points.

The Wolfpack prevailed 35-30 last time out when they took on the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Pirates came up short by a final score of 34-20 last time out against the Navy Midshipmen.

East Carolina vs. NC State Game Info

When: Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 5:45 p.m. ET
Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland
TV: ESPN
Favorite: NC State -7
Total: 61 points

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East Carolina vs. NC State Matchup Stats

NC State		East Carolina
373.8 (89th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	432.8 (46th)
384.8 (68th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	403.6 (83rd)
141 (85th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	159.1 (73rd)
232.8 (60th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	273.8 (19th)
22 (110th)	Turnovers (Rank)	28 (132nd)
18 (57th)	Takeaways (Rank)	21 (29th)

East Carolina vs. NC State Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: NC State 33, East Carolina 27

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: East Carolina +7 (model predicted spread is 6 points)

NC State has posted a 4-6-1 record against the spread this season.
The Wolfpack are 1-1-1 against the spread when favored by 7 points or more this season.
So far this season, East Carolina has compiled a 6-5-0 record against the spread.
The Pirates have a 1-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 7 points or more this season.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 61 (model projecting 60.7 points)

Five times so far this season, NC State and its opponent have combined to score more than 61 points.
Pirates games have finished with more than 61 points six times this season.
The over/under for this game is 61 points, 10.8 more than the average point total for NC State games this season.
The over/under for this game is 4.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Pirates games (56.5).

Team Leaders

NC State Team Leaders

CJ Bailey: 2,183 PASS YDS / 181.9 YPG / 64.1% / 14 TD / 9 INT / 88 CAR / 255 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
Jordan Waters: 91 CAR / 444 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 4 TD / 14 REC / 160 YDS / 20 YPG / 1 TD
Daylan Smothers: 74 CAR / 432 YDS / 39.3 YPG / 6 TD / 17 REC / 221 YDS / 22.1 YPG / 1 TD
Justin Joly: 40 REC / 620 YDS / 51.7 YPG / 3 TD
Kevin Concepcion: 53 REC / 460 YDS / 38.3 YPG / 6 TD
Noah Rogers: 30 REC / 419 YDS / 34.9 YPG / 1 TD
Davin Vann: 36 TKL / 8 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Sean Brown: 67 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK
Bishop Fitzgerald: 41 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

East Carolina Team Leaders

Katin Houser: 1,859 PASS YDS / 154.9 YPG / 60.6% / 18 TD / 9 INT
Rahjai Harris: 189 CAR / 946 YDS / 78.8 YPG / 10 TD / 15 REC / 91 YDS / 9.1 YPG / 0 TD
London Montgomery: 64 CAR / 343 YDS / 31.2 YPG / 2 TD / 5 REC / 29 YDS / 3.2 YPG / 0 TD
Anthony Smith: 38 REC / 767 YDS / 63.9 YPG / 6 TD
Chase Sowell: 34 REC / 678 YDS / 67.8 YPG / 3 TD
Winston Wright: 54 REC / 556 YDS / 50.5 YPG / 8 TD
Elijah Morris: 26 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 SACK
Omar Rogers: 85 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Gavin Gibson: 44 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD