Tigers vs Gators Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-16-2024

The No. 21 LSU Tigers (6-3) and Florida Gators (4-5) will meet in a battle of two conference rivals. The Tigers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The predicted point total for the matchup is 56.

The Tigers lost 42-13 last time out when they took on the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Gators picked up a 48-20 win last time out against the Kentucky Wildcats.

LSU vs. Florida Game Info

• When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
• TV: ABC
• Favorite: LSU -3.5
• Total: 56 points

Click here to place your bets on this game with BetUS!

LSU vs. Florida Stat Matchup

LSU vs. Florida Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: LSU 29, Florida 26

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Florida +3.5 (model predicted spread is 2.4 points)

• LSU has a 3-5-0 record against the spread this season.
• When they have played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Tigers are 1-3 against the spread.
• Florida's ATS record is 5-3-0 this season.
• In games they have played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this year, the Gators are 2-1 against the spread.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 56 (model projecting 55.2 points)

• On just two occasions this year have LSU and its opponent combined to score more than 56 points.
• Gators games have finished with over 56 points scored four times this year.
• LSU games have had an average of 58.8 points this season, 2.8 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
• Gators games average 52.4 total points, 3.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Team Leaders

LSU

• Garrett Nussmeier: 2,866 PASS YDS / 318.4 YPG / 62.7% / 21 TD / 11 INT
• Caden Durham: 80 CAR / 465 YDS / 51.7 YPG / 6 TD / 18 REC / 202 YDS / 22.4 YPG / 2 TD
• Josh Williams: 68 CAR / 250 YDS / 27.8 YPG / 3 TD / 16 REC / 141 YDS / 15.7 YPG / 0 TD
• Kyren Lacy: 46 REC / 697 YDS / 77.4 YPG / 7 TD
• Aaron Anderson: 39 REC / 641 YDS / 71.2 YPG / 4 TD
• Mason Taylor: 43 REC / 419 YDS / 46.6 YPG / 2 TD
• Bradyn Swinson: 37 TKL / 8 TFL / 8 SACK
• Greg Penn III: 56 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
• Zy Alexander: 14 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD

Florida

• DJ Lagway: 1,071 PASS YDS / 133.9 YPG / 60.9% / 6 TD / 5 INT / 38 CAR / 114 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
• Jadan Baugh: 89 CAR / 411 YDS / 45.7 YPG / 6 TD
• Montrell Johnson: 70 CAR / 373 YDS / 62.2 YPG / 4 TD / 13 REC / 64 YDS / 10.7 YPG / 0 TD
• Elijhah Badger: 24 REC / 560 YDS / 70 YPG / 2 TD
• Chimere Dike: 28 REC / 523 YDS / 58.1 YPG / 2 TD
• Eugene Wilson III: 19 REC / 266 YDS / 44.3 YPG / 1 TD
• Tyreak Sapp: 20 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK
• Jack Pyburn: 36 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
• Devin Moore: 17 TKL / 2 INT / 2 PD