Hawkeyes vs Tigers Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Monday 12-30-2024

The Missouri Tigers are slim favorites (-2.5) in the Music City Bowl against the Iowa Hawkeyes. The predicted point total for the matchup is 40.

The Tigers lost 34-30 last time out when they faced the South Carolina Gamecocks. The Hawkeyes picked up a 13-10 win last time out against the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

Iowa vs. Missouri Game Info

When: Monday, December 30, 2024 at 2:30 p.m. ET
Location: Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Favorite: Missouri -2.5
Total: 40 points

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Iowa vs. Missouri Matchup Stats

Missouri		Iowa
390.7 (80th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	331.5 (116th)
319.3 (11th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	313.7 (8th)
171.6 (54th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	199.9 (20th)
219.1 (77th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	131.6 (131st)
9 (6th)	Turnovers (Rank)	11 (17th)
16 (73rd)	Takeaways (Rank)	24 (15th)

Iowa vs. Missouri Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Iowa 25, Missouri 22

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Iowa +2.5 (model predicted spread is 2.6 points)

Missouri has gone 7-4-0 ATS this season.
The Tigers have a 5-2 record against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
Iowa has gone 5-5-1 ATS this year.
The Hawkeyes are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 40 (model projecting 47.3 points)

Missouri and its opponent have broken the 40-point mark eight times this season.
Hawkeyes games have finished with over 40 points scored eight times this year.
Missouri games average 50.2 total points per game this season, 10.2 greater than the over/under for this matchup.
The average total for Hawkeyes games is 40.2 points, 0.2 more than this game's over/under.

Team Leaders

Missouri Team Leaders

Brady Cook: 2,238 PASS YDS / 203.5 YPG / 63.2% / 9 TD / 2 INT / 73 CAR / 169 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
Nate Noel: 157 CAR / 804 YDS / 80.4 YPG / 3 TD / 15 REC / 44 YDS / 6.3 YPG / 0 TD
Marcus Carroll: 134 CAR / 578 YDS / 48.2 YPG / 12 TD / 9 REC / 66 YDS / 9.4 YPG / 0 TD
Theo Wease: 55 REC / 809 YDS / 67.4 YPG / 3 TD
Luther Burden III: 60 REC / 666 YDS / 55.5 YPG / 6 TD
Brett Norfleet: 26 REC / 235 YDS / 19.6 YPG / 2 TD
Johnny Walker Jr.: 31 TKL / 8 TFL / 7.5 SACK
Corey Flagg Jr.: 71 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Dreyden Norwood: 26 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Iowa Team Leaders

Cade McNamara: 1,017 PASS YDS / 127.1 YPG / 60.5% / 6 TD / 5 INT
Kaleb Johnson: 240 CAR / 1,537 YDS / 128.1 YPG / 21 TD / 22 REC / 188 YDS / 17.1 YPG / 2 TD
Kamari Moulton: 70 CAR / 377 YDS / 31.4 YPG / 2 TD / 1 REC / 12 YDS / 2.4 YPG / 0 TD
Jacob Gill: 32 REC / 382 YDS / 31.8 YPG / 2 TD
Luke Lachey: 27 REC / 227 YDS / 22.7 YPG / 0 TD
Ethan Hurkett: 48 TKL / 7 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Jay Higgins: 113 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 INT / 4 PD