Flames vs Minutemen Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-16-2024

The Liberty Flames (6-2) are favored by 14 points versus the UMass Minutemen (2-7) on November 16, 2024, starting at 12 p.m. ET, airing on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 52.5 points.

Last time out, the Flames took down the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 37-17. The Minutemen fell short by a final score of 45-20 last time out against the Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Liberty vs. UMass Game Info

• When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
• Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts
• TV: ESPN+
• Favorite: Liberty -14
• Total: 52.5 points

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Liberty vs. UMass Stat Matchup

Liberty vs. UMass Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Liberty 29, UMass 22

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: UMass +14 (model predicted spread is 7.2 points)

• Liberty has covered the spread twice in seven games this season.
• The Flames have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 14 points or more this season (0-4).
• So far this year, UMass has compiled a 3-4-0 record against the spread.
• In games they have played as at least 14-point underdogs this season, the Minutemen are 3-2 against the spread.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 52.5 (model projecting 50.9 points)

• In five games this year, Liberty and its opponent have combined for more than 52.5 points.
• There have been three Minutemen games this season with more than 52.5 points scored.
• Liberty games average 55.4 total points per game this season, 2.9 more than the over/under for this matchup.
• Minutemen games average 49.9 total points, 2.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Team Leaders

Liberty

• Kaidon Salter: 1,581 PASS YDS / 197.6 YPG / 60.3% / 13 TD / 3 INT / 87 CAR / 432 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
• Quinton Cooley: 142 CAR / 851 YDS / 106.4 YPG / 8 TD / 1 REC / 9 YDS / 1.5 YPG / 0 TD
• Treon Sibley: 22 REC / 414 YDS / 59.1 YPG / 2 TD
• Elijah Canion: 20 REC / 308 YDS / 44 YPG / 2 TD
• Tyson Mobley: 24 REC / 237 YDS / 33.9 YPG / 1 TD
• TJ Bush: 36 TKL / 4 TFL / 5.5 SACK
• Joseph Carter: 56 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK
• Dexter Ricks Jr.: 27 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

UMass

• Taisun Phommachanh: 1,590 PASS YDS / 176.7 YPG / 56.4% / 8 TD / 6 INT / 107 CAR / 317 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
• CJ Hester: 81 CAR / 349 YDS / 38.8 YPG / 2 TD / 13 REC / 56 YDS / 7 YPG / 0 TD
• Jakobie James: 37 REC / 626 YDS / 69.6 YPG / 4 TD
• T.Y. Harding: 12 REC / 227 YDS / 25.2 YPG / 4 TD
• Jacquon Gibson: 18 REC / 210 YDS / 23.3 YPG / 0 TD
• Louce Julien: 32 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK
• Jalen Stewart: 56 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK
• Isaiah Rutherford: 4 TKL / 1 INT / 1 PD