Flames vs Blue Raiders Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-09-2024

The Liberty Flames (5-2) and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-6) will play each other in a battle of two conference rivals. The Flames are heavy favorites (-11.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 55.

Last time out, the Flames took the loss against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 31-21. The Blue Raiders picked up a 20-13 victory last time out against the UTEP Miners.

Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Game Info

When: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 1 p.m. ET
Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee
TV: CBS Sports Network
Favorite: Liberty -11.5
Total: 55 points

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Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Stat Matchup

Liberty		Middle Tennessee
434.1 (102nd)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	338.3 (101st)
340.9 (9th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	449.4 (126th)
228.6 (9th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	78.6 (132nd)
205.6 (85th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	259.8 (37th)
8 (24th)	Turnovers (Rank)	15 (103rd)
9 (95th)	Takeaways (Rank)	8 (108th)

Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Liberty 26, Middle Tennessee 25

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Middle Tennessee +11.5 (model predicted spread is 1.3 points)

Liberty is 1-5-0 against the spread this season.
The Flames are winless against the spread (0-4) when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.
Middle Tennessee's ATS record is 3-5-0 this year.
The Blue Raiders are 1-3 against the spread when an underdog by 11.5 points or more this season.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 55 (model projecting 50.8 points)

On just two occasions this season have Liberty and its opponent combined for more than 55 points.
Blue Raiders games have finished with more than 55 points five times this season.
Liberty games average 55.6 total points per game this season, 0.6 greater than the over/under for this matchup.
The Blue Raiders average over/under is 55.0, which equals the total for this matchup.

Team Leaders

Liberty

Kaidon Salter: 1,427 PASS YDS / 203.9 YPG / 59.2% / 11 TD / 3 INT / 78 CAR / 338 RUSH YDS / 2 TD
Quinton Cooley: 118 CAR / 715 YDS / 102.1 YPG / 7 TD / 1 REC / 9 YDS / 1.5 YPG / 0 TD
Billy Lucas: 81 CAR / 378 YDS / 54 YPG / 4 TD / 4 REC / 40 YDS / 8 YPG / 0 TD
Treon Sibley: 21 REC / 397 YDS / 66.2 YPG / 2 TD
Elijah Canion: 17 REC / 254 YDS / 42.3 YPG / 2 TD
Tyson Mobley: 21 REC / 202 YDS / 33.7 YPG / 1 TD
TJ Bush: 36 TKL / 4 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Joseph Carter: 50 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Dexter Ricks Jr.: 23 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Middle Tennessee

Nicholas Vattiato: 2,296 PASS YDS / 255.1 YPG / 63.8% / 10 TD / 7 INT
Jaiden Credle: 82 CAR / 381 YDS / 42.3 YPG / 3 TD / 20 REC / 98 YDS / 12.3 YPG / 0 TD
Terry Wilkins: 44 CAR / 140 YDS / 15.6 YPG / 1 TD / 11 REC / 46 YDS / 5.8 YPG / 0 TD
Omari Kelly: 48 REC / 811 YDS / 90.1 YPG / 3 TD
Holden Willis: 40 REC / 601 YDS / 66.8 YPG / 3 TD
Myles Butler: 21 REC / 274 YDS / 34.3 YPG / 3 TD
Brandon Buckner: 25 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
Xavier Williams: 41 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
John Howse IV: 29 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD