Tigers vs Bulldogs Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-23-2024

In a matchup of two conference rivals, the Missouri Tigers (7-3) will meet the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-8). The Tigers are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 57.5.

The Tigers won 30-23 last time out when they took on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Bulldogs picked up a 45-20 win last time out against the UMass Minutemen.

Missouri vs. Mississippi State Game Info

When: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 4:15 p.m. ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi
TV: SEC Network
Favorite: Missouri -9.5
Total: 57.5 points

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Missouri vs. Mississippi State Stat Matchup

Missouri		Mississippi State
385.5 (75th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	385.8 (74th)
311.6 (14th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	461.1 (126th)
166.2 (61st)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	146.9 (82nd)
219.3 (76th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	238.9 (53rd)
9 (22nd)	Turnovers (Rank)	14 (59th)
13 (69th)	Takeaways (Rank)	12 (86th)

Missouri vs. Mississippi State Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Missouri 33, Mississippi State 22

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Missouri -9.5 (model predicted spread is 10.2 points)

Missouri has a 5-4-0 record against the spread this season.
When they have played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Tigers are 2-2 against the spread.
Mississippi State has a 5-4-0 record against the spread this season.
The Bulldogs have a 4-0 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 9.5 points or more this season.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 57.5 (model projecting 54.9 points)

Just once this year Missouri and its opponent combined to score more than 57.5 points.
Bulldogs games have finished with more than 57.5 points six times this season.
The over/under for this game is 57.5 points, 8.2 more than the average point total for Missouri games this season.
The average total for Bulldogs games and the over/under for this matchup are the same.

Team Leaders

Missouri

Brady Cook: 1,802 PASS YDS / 200.2 YPG / 63.3% / 8 TD / 2 INT
Nate Noel: 122 CAR / 684 YDS / 85.5 YPG / 3 TD / 15 REC / 44 YDS / 6.3 YPG / 0 TD
Marcus Carroll: 98 CAR / 427 YDS / 42.7 YPG / 7 TD / 9 REC / 66 YDS / 9.4 YPG / 0 TD
Theo Wease: 47 REC / 637 YDS / 63.7 YPG / 3 TD
Luther Burden III: 52 REC / 564 YDS / 56.4 YPG / 5 TD
Mookie Cooper: 12 REC / 235 YDS / 33.6 YPG / 0 TD
Johnny Walker Jr.: 27 TKL / 6 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Corey Flagg Jr.: 66 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Dreyden Norwood: 24 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Mississippi State

Michael Van Buren Jr.: 1,415 PASS YDS / 141.5 YPG / 54.6% / 9 TD / 5 INT
Davon Booth: 124 CAR / 597 YDS / 59.7 YPG / 4 TD / 10 REC / 124 YDS / 12.4 YPG / 4 TD
Johnnie Daniels: 96 CAR / 509 YDS / 50.9 YPG / 4 TD / 7 REC / 72 YDS / 10.3 YPG / 0 TD
Kevin Coleman Jr.: 62 REC / 756 YDS / 75.6 YPG / 5 TD
Mario Craver: 17 REC / 368 YDS / 46 YPG / 3 TD
Seydou Traore: 29 REC / 330 YDS / 33 YPG / 1 TD
Branden Jennings: 41 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Stone Blanton: 84 TKL / 0.5 SACK
Hunter Washington: 38 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD