Bulldogs vs Volunteers Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-09-2024

The No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers (7-1) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-7) will play each other in a battle of two conference rivals. The Volunteers are heavy favorites, expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -25.5). An over/under of 61 points has been established for the matchup.

Last time out, the Volunteers bested the Kentucky Wildcats, 28-18. The Bulldogs picked up a 45-20 win last time out against the UMass Minutemen.

Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Game Info

When: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Favorite: Tennessee -25.5
Total: 61 points

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Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Stat Matchup

Tennessee		Mississippi State
472.6 (26th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	398.6 (38th)
271.6 (3rd)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	461.7 (129th)
234.5 (8th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	143.3 (87th)
238.1 (61st)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	255.2 (41st)
11 (57th)	Turnovers (Rank)	12 (66th)
14 (35th)	Takeaways (Rank)	11 (68th)

Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Tennessee 40, Mississippi State 15

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Mississippi State +25.5 (model predicted spread is 24.9 points)

Tennessee has posted a 4-3-0 record against the spread this season.
The Volunteers are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 25.5-point favorites.
Mississippi State has gone 4-4-0 ATS this season.
When they have played as at least 25.5-point underdogs this season, the Bulldogs are 2-0 against the spread.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 61 (model projecting 55.6 points)

Tennessee and its opponent have combined for more than 61 points combined just once this season.
Bulldogs games have gone over 61 points on four occasions this year.
The over/under for this game is 61 points, 4.6 more than the average point total for Tennessee games this season.
The over/under for this game is 3.9 points higher than the average scoring total for Bulldogs games (57.1).

Team Leaders

Tennessee

Nico Iamaleava: 1,694 PASS YDS / 211.8 YPG / 65.4% / 9 TD / 4 INT / 60 CAR / 193 RUSH YDS / 1 TD
Dylan Sampson: 171 CAR / 980 YDS / 122.5 YPG / 19 TD / 11 REC / 97 YDS / 12.1 YPG / 0 TD
DeSean Bishop: 54 CAR / 372 YDS / 46.5 YPG / 3 TD / 1 REC / 10 YDS / 2 YPG / 0 TD
Dont'e Thornton: 17 REC / 401 YDS / 50.1 YPG / 3 TD
Bru McCoy: 25 REC / 345 YDS / 49.3 YPG / 0 TD
Squirrel White: 22 REC / 241 YDS / 30.1 YPG / 0 TD
James Pearce Jr.: 20 TKL / 5 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Arion Carter: 33 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Will Brooks: 32 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

Mississippi State

Michael Van Buren Jr.: 1,323 PASS YDS / 147 YPG / 57.1% / 9 TD / 4 INT
Davon Booth: 104 CAR / 472 YDS / 52.4 YPG / 3 TD / 9 REC / 125 YDS / 13.9 YPG / 4 TD
Johnnie Daniels: 86 CAR / 446 YDS / 49.6 YPG / 3 TD / 6 REC / 67 YDS / 9.6 YPG / 0 TD
Kevin Coleman Jr.: 57 REC / 688 YDS / 76.4 YPG / 5 TD
Mario Craver: 16 REC / 355 YDS / 50.7 YPG / 3 TD
Seydou Traore: 28 REC / 327 YDS / 36.3 YPG / 1 TD
Branden Jennings: 37 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Stone Blanton: 77 TKL / 0.5 SACK
Nic Mitchell: 49 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD