Boilermakers vs Spartans Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Friday 11-22-2024

In a matchup of two conference rivals, the Michigan State Spartans (4-6) will face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (1-9). The Spartans are big favorites, expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -14). The total for this one is set at 48.5 points.

Last time out, the Spartans fell short against the Illinois Fighting Illini, 38-16. The Boilermakers fell short by a final score of 35-0 last time out against the Oregon Ducks.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Game Info

When: Friday, November 22, 2024 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan
TV: FOX
Favorite: Michigan State -14
Total: 48.5 points

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Purdue vs. Michigan State Stat Matchup

Michigan State		Purdue
346.4 (106th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	318.6 (123rd)
328.4 (32nd)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	454.4 (119th)
115.6 (109th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	137.5 (92nd)
230.8 (66th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	181.1 (118th)
18 (109th)	Turnovers (Rank)	12 (43rd)
9 (116th)	Takeaways (Rank)	5 (132nd)

Purdue vs. Michigan State Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Michigan State 33, Purdue 18

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Michigan State -14 (model predicted spread is 14.8 points)

Michigan State has gone 4-5-0 ATS this season.
Purdue has covered the spread just once in nine games this year.
The Boilermakers are 1-3 against the spread when an underdog by 14 points or more this year.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 48.5 (model projecting 51.2 points)

In four games this year, Michigan State and its opponent have combined for more than 48.5 points.
Boilermakers games have gone over 48.5 points on five occasions this year.
The over/under in this game is 48.5 points, 2.7 higher than the average total in Michigan State games this season.
The average total for Boilermakers games is 50.1 points, 1.6 more than this game's over/under.

Team Leaders

Michigan State

Aidan Chiles: 2,106 PASS YDS / 210.6 YPG / 60.7% / 10 TD / 12 INT / 84 CAR / 219 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
Kay'Ron Adams: 106 CAR / 495 YDS / 49.5 YPG / 2 TD / 11 REC / 65 YDS / 7.2 YPG / 0 TD
Nathan Carter: 100 CAR / 437 YDS / 43.7 YPG / 3 TD / 13 REC / 118 YDS / 13.1 YPG / 1 TD
Nick Marsh: 37 REC / 611 YDS / 61.1 YPG / 3 TD
Montorie Foster: 42 REC / 529 YDS / 52.9 YPG / 2 TD
Jack Velling: 30 REC / 323 YDS / 32.3 YPG / 0 TD
Khris Bogle: 25 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK
Jordan Turner: 50 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Charles Brantley: 26 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

Purdue

Hudson Card: 1,264 PASS YDS / 158 YPG / 59.6% / 8 TD / 5 INT
Devin Mockobee: 115 CAR / 652 YDS / 65.2 YPG / 3 TD / 13 REC / 123 YDS / 12.3 YPG / 1 TD
Reggie Love III: 79 CAR / 370 YDS / 37 YPG / 2 TD / 5 REC / 13 YDS / 2.2 YPG / 0 TD
Max Klare: 39 REC / 566 YDS / 56.6 YPG / 3 TD
Jahmal Edrine: 18 REC / 278 YDS / 27.8 YPG / 2 TD
Jaron Tibbs: 21 REC / 232 YDS / 23.2 YPG / 2 TD
Kydran Jenkins: 55 TKL / 6 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Dillon Thieneman: 61 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Kyndrich Breedlove: 25 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD