Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-30-2024

The North Carolina Tar Heels (6-5) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -3) -- versus the NC State Wolfpack (5-6) in a matchup of two conference rivals. The total for this one is set at 54 points.

The Tar Heels last hit the field against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, and they came out on top 31-24. In their most recent outing, the Wolfpack took on the Duke Blue Devils and fell short by a final score of 29-19.

NC State vs. North Carolina Game Info

When: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
TV: ACC Network
Favorite: North Carolina -3
Total: 54 points

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NC State vs. North Carolina Stat Matchup

North Carolina		NC State
419.4 (46th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	365.8 (95th)
369.3 (65th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	377.3 (74th)
189.2 (30th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	133.8 (93rd)
230.2 (62nd)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	232 (61st)
14 (45th)	Turnovers (Rank)	21 (120th)
14 (79th)	Takeaways (Rank)	16 (51st)

NC State vs. North Carolina Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: North Carolina 34, NC State 25

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: North Carolina -3 (model predicted spread is 9 points)

North Carolina has covered the spread only two times in 10 contests this season.
The Tar Heels have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 3 points or more this season (0-3).
NC State has gone 3-6-1 ATS this year.
When they have played as at least 3-point underdogs this season, the Wolfpack are 2-2 against the spread.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 54 (model projecting 59.9 points)

Seven times so far this season, North Carolina and its opponent have combined to score more than 54 points.
Wolfpack games have finished with over 54 points scored five times this year.
North Carolina games average 55.3 total points per game this season, 1.3 more than the over/under for this matchup.
Games involving the Wolfpack this year have averaged 49.8 points per game, a 4.2-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

Team Leaders

North Carolina

Jacolby Criswell: 2,179 PASS YDS / 198.1 YPG / 58.4% / 12 TD / 6 INT
Omarion Hampton: 259 CAR / 1,475 YDS / 134.1 YPG / 14 TD / 34 REC / 295 YDS / 26.8 YPG / 1 TD
Davion Gause: 61 CAR / 312 YDS / 31.2 YPG / 4 TD / 3 REC / 34 YDS / 4.9 YPG / 0 TD
J.J. Jones: 31 REC / 551 YDS / 50.1 YPG / 5 TD
John Copenhaver: 33 REC / 344 YDS / 31.3 YPG / 3 TD
Kobe Paysour: 18 REC / 320 YDS / 29.1 YPG / 0 TD
Jahvaree Ritzie: 33 TKL / 5 TFL / 6.5 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Antavious Lane: 71 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Kaleb Cost: 48 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD

NC State

CJ Bailey: 1,941 PASS YDS / 176.5 YPG / 63.7% / 12 TD / 8 INT / 74 CAR / 201 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
Jordan Waters: 85 CAR / 409 YDS / 40.9 YPG / 4 TD / 14 REC / 160 YDS / 20 YPG / 1 TD
Kendrick Raphael: 65 CAR / 375 YDS / 37.5 YPG / 3 TD / 10 REC / 41 YDS / 4.6 YPG / 0 TD
Justin Joly: 37 REC / 576 YDS / 52.4 YPG / 3 TD
Kevin Concepcion: 50 REC / 416 YDS / 37.8 YPG / 5 TD
Noah Rogers: 29 REC / 375 YDS / 34.1 YPG / 1 TD
Davin Vann: 32 TKL / 7 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Sean Brown: 64 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK
Bishop Fitzgerald: 36 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD