Hilltoppers vs Aggies Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-09-2024

In a matchup of two conference rivals, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-2) will face off against the New Mexico State Aggies (2-6). The Hilltoppers are big favorites, expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -18). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 53.

Last time out, the Hilltoppers took down the Kennesaw State Owls, 31-14. The Aggies fell short by a final score of 34-13 last time out against the Florida International Panthers.

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Game Info

• When: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 6 p.m. ET
• Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico
• TV: ESPN+
• Favorite: Western Kentucky -18
• Total: 53 points

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Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Stat Matchup

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Western Kentucky 42, New Mexico State 14

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Western Kentucky -18 (model predicted spread is 27.5 points)

• Western Kentucky is 5-2-0 ATS this season.
• The Hilltoppers have a 1-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 18 points or more this season.
• New Mexico State is 2-5-0 against the spread this season.
• The Aggies are 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 18 points or more this year.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 53 (model projecting 55.9 points)

• In three games this year, Western Kentucky and its opponent have combined for more than 53 points.
• So far this season, four Aggies games have featured over 53 points scored.
• The total for this game is 53, 1.6 points fewer than the average total in Western Kentucky games thus far this season.
• Aggies games average 50.2 total points, 2.8 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Team Leaders

Western Kentucky

• Caden Veltkamp: 1,704 PASS YDS / 213 YPG / 70.4% / 17 TD / 5 INT / 68 CAR / 124 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
• Elijah Young: 117 CAR / 489 YDS / 61.1 YPG / 2 TD / 26 REC / 247 YDS / 30.9 YPG / 1 TD
• George Hart III: 23 CAR / 157 YDS / 19.6 YPG / 1 TD / 4 REC / 11 YDS / 1.8 YPG / 0 TD
• Kisean Johnson: 41 REC / 557 YDS / 69.6 YPG / 4 TD
• Easton Messer: 30 REC / 426 YDS / 53.3 YPG / 3 TD
• Darius Thomas: 29 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 SACK
• Hosea Wheeler: 39 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
• Devonte' Mathews: 30 TKL / 2 INT / 2 PD

New Mexico State

• Parker Awad: 518 PASS YDS / 64.8 YPG / 43.5% / 4 TD / 3 INT
• Seth McGowan: 106 CAR / 523 YDS / 65.4 YPG / 2 TD / 11 REC / 89 YDS / 11.1 YPG / 1 TD
• Mike Washington: 89 CAR / 372 YDS / 46.5 YPG / 4 TD / 5 REC / 43 YDS / 5.4 YPG / 1 TD
• PJ Johnson III: 14 REC / 229 YDS / 28.6 YPG / 1 TD
• TJ Pride: 21 REC / 215 YDS / 26.9 YPG / 1 TD
• Kordell David: 15 REC / 124 YDS / 15.5 YPG / 0 TD
• Kale Edwards: 26 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 SACK
• Tyler Martinez: 48 TKL / 1 TFL
• Josiah Cox: 22 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD