Aztecs vs Rebels Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-16-2024

The UNLV Rebels (7-2) and San Diego State Aztecs (3-6) will meet in a battle of two conference rivals. The Rebels are heavy favorites, expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -21.5). The matchup has an over/under of 54.5 points.

Last time out, the Rebels bested the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, 29-27. The Aztecs picked up a 27-24 win last time out against the Wyoming Cowboys.

San Diego State vs. UNLV Game Info

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 10:30 p.m. ET
Location: Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada
TV: CBS Sports Network
Favorite: UNLV -21.5
Total: 54.5 points

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San Diego State vs. UNLV Stat Matchup

UNLV		San Diego State
426.2 (48th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	330.8 (117th)
384.7 (72nd)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	404.3 (92nd)
248.7 (6th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	125.8 (100th)
177.6 (118th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	205 (87th)
5 (3rd)	Turnovers (Rank)	7 (12th)
17 (21st)	Takeaways (Rank)	10 (95th)

San Diego State vs. UNLV Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: UNLV 41, San Diego State 13

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: UNLV -21.5 (model predicted spread is 27.6 points)

UNLV's ATS record is 4-4-0 this season.
San Diego State's ATS record is 4-4-0 this season.
The Aztecs are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 21.5 points or more this season.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 54.5 (model projecting 54.1 points)

UNLV and its opponent have broken the 54.5-point mark five times this year.
Aztecs games have gone over 54.5 points scored only twice this season.
The average total for UNLV games this season has been 58.1, 3.6 points higher than the total for this game.
Games involving the Aztecs this year have averaged 52.4 points per game, a 2.1-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

Team Leaders

UNLV

Hajj-Malik Williams: 1,192 PASS YDS / 132.4 YPG / 64% / 13 TD / 3 INT / 99 CAR / 617 RUSH YDS / 6 TD
Jai'Den Thomas: 85 CAR / 508 YDS / 56.4 YPG / 4 TD / 9 REC / 72 YDS / 9 YPG / 1 TD
Ricky White: 58 REC / 799 YDS / 88.8 YPG / 10 TD
Jacob De Jesus: 18 REC / 299 YDS / 37.4 YPG / 2 TD
Jaden Bradley: 6 REC / 138 YDS / 15.3 YPG / 1 TD
Antonio Doyle: 32 TKL / 6 TFL / 5 SACK
Jackson Woodard: 76 TKL / 8 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 4 INT / 4 PD
Jalen Catalon: 63 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 INT / 4 PD

San Diego State

Danny O'Neil: 1,590 PASS YDS / 176.7 YPG / 60.8% / 9 TD / 4 INT
Marquez Cooper: 220 CAR / 965 YDS / 107.2 YPG / 9 TD / 14 REC / 77 YDS / 9.6 YPG / 1 TD
Cam Davis: 13 CAR / 75 YDS / 8.3 YPG / 0 TD
Louis Brown: 27 REC / 417 YDS / 52.1 YPG / 2 TD
Jordan Napier: 34 REC / 411 YDS / 45.7 YPG / 4 TD
Ja'Shaun Poke: 39 REC / 304 YDS / 33.8 YPG / 0 TD
Trey White: 35 TKL / 13 TFL / 11.5 SACK
Bryce Phillips: 20 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD