Aztecs vs Aggies Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-23-2024

The Utah State Aggies (3-7) and San Diego State Aztecs (3-7) will face off in a battle of two conference rivals. The Aggies are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5). An over/under of 61 points has been set for the matchup.

Last time out, the Aggies bested the Wyoming Cowboys, 27-25. The Aztecs lost in their last outing by a final score of 21-16 against the New Mexico Lobos.

San Diego State vs. Utah State Game Info

When: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah
TV: CBS Sports Network
Favorite: Utah State -5.5
Total: 61 points

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San Diego State vs. Utah State Stat Matchup

Utah State		San Diego State
464.7 (12th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	324.7 (123rd)
477.5 (130th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	415.4 (105th)
177.3 (47th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	123.9 (101st)
287.4 (14th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	200.8 (94th)
18 (109th)	Turnovers (Rank)	9 (22nd)
15 (46th)	Takeaways (Rank)	11 (97th)

San Diego State vs. Utah State Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Utah State 33, San Diego State 27

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Utah State -5.5 (model predicted spread is 6.6 points)

Utah State has a 3-6-0 record against the spread this season.
The Aggies are 0-1 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
San Diego State has gone 5-4-0 ATS this year.
In games they have played as at least 5.5-point underdogs this season, the Aztecs are 2-2 against the spread.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 61 (model projecting 60.3 points)

Six times so far this season, Utah State and its opponent have combined to score more than 61 points.
Aztecs games have gone over 61 points scored only twice this season.
The point total average for Utah State games this season is 62.1, 1.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
Aztecs games average 52.7 total points, 8.3 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Team Leaders

Utah State

Spencer Petras: 2,288 PASS YDS / 228.8 YPG / 65.3% / 17 TD / 10 INT
Rahsul Faison: 177 CAR / 991 YDS / 99.1 YPG / 8 TD / 18 REC / 76 YDS / 9.5 YPG / 0 TD
Herschel Turner: 59 CAR / 324 YDS / 32.4 YPG / 3 TD / 11 REC / 68 YDS / 8.5 YPG / 0 TD
Jalen Royals: 55 REC / 834 YDS / 119.1 YPG / 6 TD
Kyrese Rowan: 36 REC / 450 YDS / 45 YPG / 3 TD
Otto Tia: 36 REC / 342 YDS / 34.2 YPG / 4 TD
Cian Slone: 29 TKL / 5 TFL / 7 SACK
Jordan Vincent: 88 TKL / 4 INT / 4 PD

San Diego State

Danny O'Neil: 1,752 PASS YDS / 175.2 YPG / 60.7% / 11 TD / 6 INT
Marquez Cooper: 246 CAR / 1,062 YDS / 106.2 YPG / 9 TD / 16 REC / 91 YDS / 10.1 YPG / 1 TD
Cam Davis: 13 CAR / 75 YDS / 7.5 YPG / 0 TD
Louis Brown: 28 REC / 446 YDS / 49.6 YPG / 3 TD
Jordan Napier: 39 REC / 438 YDS / 43.8 YPG / 4 TD
Ja'Shaun Poke: 42 REC / 383 YDS / 38.3 YPG / 1 TD
Trey White: 36 TKL / 13 TFL / 11.5 SACK
Eric Butler: 24 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD