Mustangs vs Cavaliers Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-23-2024

In a matchup of two conference rivals, the No. 13 SMU Mustangs (9-1) will face off against the Virginia Cavaliers (5-5). The Mustangs are heavy favorites (-10.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 55.

The Mustangs last hit the field against the Boston College Eagles, and they came out on top 38-28. The Cavaliers lost in their last outing by a final score of 35-14 against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

SMU vs. Virginia Game Info

• When: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
• Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia
• TV: ESPN2
• Favorite: SMU -10.5
• Total: 55 points

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SMU vs. Virginia Stat Matchup

SMU vs. Virginia Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: SMU 35, Virginia 22

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: SMU -10.5 (model predicted spread is 13.2 points)

• SMU has a 5-4-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Mustangs have a 1-4 record against the spread in games they were favored by 10.5 points or more this season.
• So far this season, Virginia has put together a 5-4-0 record against the spread.
• The Cavaliers have a 1-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 10.5 points or more this year.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 55 (model projecting 57.4 points)

• SMU games have finished with more than 55 points six times so far this year.
• Cavaliers games have finished with over 55 points scored four times this season.
• SMU games this season have posted an average total of 53.9, which is 1.1 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 0.3 points higher than the average scoring total for Cavaliers games (54.7).

Team Leaders

SMU

• Kevin Jennings: 2,198 PASS YDS / 219.8 YPG / 65.4% / 15 TD / 6 INT / 72 CAR / 315 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
• Brashard Smith: 157 CAR / 1,023 YDS / 102.3 YPG / 12 TD / 26 REC / 203 YDS / 20.3 YPG / 2 TD
• Keyshawn Smith: 25 REC / 415 YDS / 41.5 YPG / 4 TD
• Roderick Daniels Jr.: 19 REC / 402 YDS / 40.2 YPG / 2 TD
• RJ Maryland: 24 REC / 359 YDS / 39.9 YPG / 4 TD
• Jahfari Harvey: 18 TKL / 6 TFL / 5 SACK
• Kobe Wilson: 67 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD
• Isaiah Nwokobia: 64 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 3 INT / 3 PD

Virginia

• Anthony Colandrea: 2,017 PASS YDS / 201.7 YPG / 61.4% / 12 TD / 11 INT / 108 CAR / 282 RUSH YDS / 2 TD
• Xavier Brown: 79 CAR / 488 YDS / 48.8 YPG / 1 TD / 8 REC / 123 YDS / 15.4 YPG / 2 TD
• Kobe Pace: 106 CAR / 473 YDS / 47.3 YPG / 3 TD / 20 REC / 184 YDS / 18.4 YPG / 0 TD
• Malachi Fields: 49 REC / 746 YDS / 74.6 YPG / 4 TD
• Tyler Neville: 31 REC / 352 YDS / 35.2 YPG / 2 TD
• Trell Harris: 13 REC / 201 YDS / 33.5 YPG / 2 TD
• Kamren Robinson: 54 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
• Jonas Sanker: 70 TKL / 8 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
• Trey McDonald: 42 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD