Demon Deacons vs Tar Heels Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-16-2024

In a battle of two conference rivals, the North Carolina Tar Heels (5-4) will play the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-5). The Tar Heels are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9.5). The predicted point total for the matchup is 64.

The Tar Heels came out on top 35-11 last time out when they faced the Florida State Seminoles. In their most recent outing, the Demon Deacons took on the California Golden Bears and fell short by a final score of 46-36.

Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Game Info

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
TV: ACC Network
Favorite: North Carolina -9.5
Total: 64 points

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Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Stat Matchup

North Carolina		Wake Forest
448.8 (29th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	398.1 (73rd)
365.3 (51st)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	446.4 (116th)
201.7 (21st)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	138.7 (96th)
247.1 (47th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	259.4 (34th)
10 (33rd)	Turnovers (Rank)	15 (89th)
10 (95th)	Takeaways (Rank)	12 (69th)

Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: North Carolina 38, Wake Forest 23

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: North Carolina -9.5 (model predicted spread is 15.3 points)

North Carolina is 2-5-1 against the spread this season.
The Tar Heels have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 9.5 points or more this season (0-2).
Wake Forest is 3-4-1 against the spread this season.
The Demon Deacons have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 9.5 points or more this year (0-2).

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 64 (model projecting 61.1 points)

North Carolina and its opponent have combined to score more than 64 points only twice this year.
Demon Deacons games have gone over 64 points on three occasions this year.
North Carolina games this season have posted an average total of 54.8, which is 9.2 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
Games involving the Demon Deacons this year have averaged 57.7 points per game, a 6.3-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

Team Leaders

North Carolina

Jacolby Criswell: 1,871 PASS YDS / 207.9 YPG / 58.5% / 11 TD / 3 INT / 48 CAR / 172 RUSH YDS / 2 TD
Omarion Hampton: 213 CAR / 1,178 YDS / 130.9 YPG / 13 TD / 26 REC / 265 YDS / 29.4 YPG / 1 TD
Davion Gause: 50 CAR / 266 YDS / 33.3 YPG / 2 TD / 3 REC / 34 YDS / 4.9 YPG / 0 TD
J.J. Jones: 26 REC / 493 YDS / 54.8 YPG / 4 TD
Kobe Paysour: 16 REC / 280 YDS / 31.1 YPG / 0 TD
Jahvaree Ritzie: 21 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 6.5 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Antavious Lane: 47 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Kaleb Cost: 33 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD

Wake Forest

Hank Bachmeier: 2,232 PASS YDS / 248.0 YPG / 61.5% / 14 TD / 9 INT / 67 CAR / 118 RUSH YDS / 1 TD
Demond Claiborne: 169 CAR / 824 YDS / 91.6 YPG / 9 TD / 17 REC / 208 YDS / 23.1 YPG / 2 TD
Tate Carney: 63 CAR / 264 YDS / 29.3 YPG / 5 TD / 8 REC / 96 YDS / 13.7 YPG / 1 TD
Taylor Morin: 48 REC / 606 YDS / 67.3 YPG / 1 TD
Deuce Alexander: 32 REC / 361 YDS / 40.1 YPG / 2 TD
Horatio Fields: 30 REC / 348 YDS / 38.7 YPG / 3 TD
Kevin Pointer: 26 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Nick Andersen: 85 TKL / 2 INT / 2 PD