The Brigham Young Cougars will take their No. 19 national ranking down to Texas this weekend when they square off with the Baylor Bears, with both teams looking to bolster their 5-1 records. Although BYU is an FBS Independent, a Baylor win would put them in a position to lead the Big 12, dependent upon other results around the conference.
In the remainder of our betting guide, you will find out more about both teams as well as the NCAA odds for this match. L
|Game: #19 BYU (5-1) at Baylor (5-1)
Location: McLane Stadium
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
|#19 BYU||+6 (-110)||+210||U51 (-110)||–|
|Baylor||-6 (-110)||-250||O51 (-110)||–|
This will only be the third time that these two teams have squared off , with each claiming one win . It will also be the first time they have met since 1984, when BYU found itself on the winning end 47-13.
Since then, both teams have undergone transformations to their program; BYU is now ready to join the Big 12 in an impending agreement while Baylor is looking to restore its past glory by moving up the ladder with a win over a Top 25 opponent. That’s something to think about if you’re interested in this weekend’s college football spreads!
Next game: at Washington State
The Cougars suffered their first loss last weekend when they fell to the unranked Boise State Broncos 26-17. Quarterback Jarren Hall was limited to one touchdown and one interception, the team lost three fumbles and it ultimately lost the time of possession battle.
This loss was BYU’s first since falling to Coastal Carolina 22-17 in December 2020. Aside from that, the Cougars have been a model of consistency, already knocking off a pair of ranked teams in Utah and Arizona State this season.
A major source of concern, aside from the turnovers, was BYU’s lack of a pass rush. The Cougards only managed to get to the Boise State quarterback one time and will need to be better this weekend.
Jarren Hall had sat out two games with a rib injury prior to last weekend but is expected to be back once again. Freshman receiver Kody Epps, is out with a foot injury.
Next game: vs No. 25 Texas
Baylor, unlike BYU, had a successful outing last weekend, beating the West Virginia Mountaineers 45-20 thanks to five total touchdowns from quarterback Gerry Bohanon. This brought them to 5-1 overall and 4-2 against the spread (ATS), making them an attractive pick for bettors.
Lost in Bohanon’s master class were the 171 total rushing yards the Bears accumulated as they dominated WVU inside McLane Stadium. The Bears won the battle at the line of scrimmage on both ends and completely outplayed their opponents.
Big 12 teams have a reputation for not playing defense, but Baylor is allowing just 17.8 points per game. If the Bears can continue playing at this level, they will be a serious player late in the season.
Betting on the Game
The line opened at six and has not budged, which is a tremendous vote of confidence in an unranked Baylor team that is looking to break into the Top 25 against a BYU squad that was ranked No. 10 just a week ago. The line is reflective of how the teams performed last weekend.
BYU will always be questioned against Power Five teams, regardless of validity. The Cougars are also running into Baylor at the worst time, as the Bears are coming off their best game.
The key for the visiting Cougars will be to get back to their balanced offensive attack and solid defense. They also do not tend to turn the ball over, putting last week aside, and are solid with their third-down opportunities. “Smart” wins football games, and BYU has reaped the rewards by following this mantra. That’s not to be taken for granted, especially if you’re going to bet online on this match!
Baylor, on the other hand, plays at a rapid pace and averages more yards and points per game than BYU. However, the Bears have also held their opponents to 320 total yards of offense per game, including 175 passing, meaning that they can win shootouts or stalemates.
The fact that Bohanon is coming off of such a supreme outing is partly responsible for the line being so heavily favored toward the Bears, who on paper would seem to be underdogs against a ranked opponent. Still, they have the numbers and the performances behind them to validate their claim as the favorite in this game.
If it looks like there are going to be a lot of points scored, the Bears’ chances of winning will increase significantly after they just throttled West Virginia.
Putting the ranking aside, BYU is disadvantaged by a multitude of factors: The Cougars are on the road, they are coming off of a loss, they are catching Baylor at the wrong time and their quarterback is still dealing with lingering issues.
The smart money would be on Baylor, though it is unfair to write off the Cougars, who are now an established program and can hang with most teams.
“Losing 26-17 at home to Boise State ends any chance of No. 10 BYU making the playoff and relegates the Cougars to a second-tier bowl game, very likely the Independence Bowl,” said USA Today’s Paul Myerberg
The points total is one of the more interesting aspects of this game to predict. If BYU controls the game, it will probably be lower scoring, while Baylor could sway either way. Based on last week, though, what is most likely is that the Bears will come out aggressive and put points on the board, forcing the Cougars to try to match them through the air.
Experienced online gambling enthusiasts will use this info to their advantage.
If this is the script for the game, the over should hit in what is not a terribly high total for two teams devoid of outstanding defense. Take the game to go over by a small amount as the game stays competitive throughout.