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Big Ten Rundown: Blowout City in Week 10

Purdue-Iowa Matchup Could be Most Compelling

With just two of the seven Big Ten games listed by the sportsbook as single-digit point spreads, there is potential for some painful outcomes on Saturday.

The hope could rest on the Iowa-Purdue and Maryland-Wisconsin games to have some compelling affairs. It doesn’t figure to be pretty when Ohio State plays at Northwestern or when Michigan makes the trip to meet up with Rutgers.

Devin Mockobee #45 of the Purdue Boilermakers rushes the ball
John Fisher / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via AFP

According to the college football playoff odds, Ohio State is second and Michigan fifth in the first College Football Playoff rankings of 2022. Penn State and Illinois check in at No. 15 and 16. In the Associated Press Top 25 poll, Ohio State is tied for second and Michigan is ranked fourth.

Ohio State -500 leads the way in the odds to win the Big Ten title followed by Michigan (+350) and Illinois (+900).

Let’s check the latest NCAAF picks, stats, injury reports, and NCAAF predictions. We’ve plenty of NCAAF expert picks for you to consider.

Game of the Week

Iowa vs Purdue

  • Date, Time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 5, Noon ET (FS1)
  • Line: Purdue -4½

Purdue (5-3, 3-2 Big Ten) needs to take care of business to keep the pressure on West Division-leading Illinois heading into next weekend’s showdown between the teams.

Purdue quarterback Aidan O’Connell had three interceptions in last week’s loss to Wisconsin. He has thrown for 1,021 yards and seven touchdowns over the last three games.

Purdue is known as a pass-happy offense. However, freshman running back Devin Mockobee has rushed for more than 100 yards in three of the last four games.

— Purdue On BTN (@PurdueOnBTN) October 28, 2022

In conference play, Iowa (4-4, 2-3) is allowing opposing teams to complete 66.9% of their passes.

Ball security could be crucial for Iowa as Purdue is averaging 25.3 yards on its 10 interceptions.

Purdue’s Charlie Jones leads the conference with 72 catches and 840 receiving yards and now he gets to face the team he played for in 2020 and 2021.

Purdue has won four of the last five games in the series and covered against the college football betting lines in each of those five contests.

Other Games to Watch

Ohio State vs Northwestern

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 5, Noon ET (ABC)
  • Line: Ohio State -38

Northwestern has allowed two of its last three opponents to complete 70% of their passes and now the Wildcats face C.J. Stroud and the high-powered Ohio State offense.

When the teams last played in 2020, Northwestern (1-7, 1-4 Big Ten) held the Buckeyes to 114 passing yards with no TD passes and two interceptions. It would be quite the story if the Wildcats do anything close to that on Saturday.

Stroud leads the nation with a 200.16 passer rating and is tied for the national lead with 29 TD passes. Emeka Egbuka and Marvin Harrison Jr. have 788 and 783 receiving yards, respectively, for Ohio State (8-0, 5-0).

Northwestern is averaging just 17.9 points and has failed to score touchdowns in 10 of its 26 drives into the red zone. That is a recipe for disaster with the way Ohio State can put up points.

Ohio State has won nine games in a row against Northwestern. However, the Wildcats have covered in two of the last four meetings.

Minnesota vs Nebraska

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 5, Noon ET (ESPN2)
  • Line: Minnesota -16

Nebraska ranks last in the Big Ten with 190.1 rushing yards allowed per game and 4.75 yards per rushing attempt. That could spell trouble when facing Minnesota’s Mohamed Ibrahim, the third-leading rusher in the Big Ten.

The Cornhuskers (3-5, 2-3 Big Ten) are coming off a season-low 248 yards on offense and 60 rushing yards in last week’s loss to Illinois. Will they have better success against a Minnesota defense that is fifth in the Big Ten in total defense

Minnesota (5-3, 2-3) has lost starting quarterback Tanner Morgan and receiver Chris Autman-Bell to season-ending injuries.

Minnesota has covered in seven of its last 10 road games while Nebraska is 2-7 against the college football odds over its last nine matchups.

Maryland vs Wisconsin

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 5, 1Noon ET (Big Ten Network)
  • Line: Wisconsin -5

Maryland (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) is expected to get quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa back after he missed the Northwestern game due to a knee injury. He is completing a career-best 72.5% of his passes this season. Eight Maryland players have at least 12 catches.

The Terrapins have shown some improvement on defense. They will be tested by Wisconsin running back Braelon Allen, who is fourth in the Big Ten with 870 rushing yards. Allen has posted three straight games with more than 100 rushing yards.

Wisconsin (4-4, 2-3) is allowing 423 yards per game on the road.

The total has gone over in Wisconsin’s last six contests.

Penn State vs Indiana

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 5, 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
  • Line: Penn State -14

The good news is that Indiana (3-5, 1-4 Big Ten) has played better at home than on the road. Still, facing Penn State (6-2, 3-2) will be no easy task.

The Nittany Lions are averaging 54 more yards per game than they did a season ago. Freshman running back Nicholas Singleton looks to get going after being held under 100 yards in each of the last four games.

Indiana’s Connor Bazelak has attempted more passes than any other Big Ten quarterback. However, he is completing only 54.9% of his passes and is last among starting quarterbacks in the conference with an average of 5.5 yards per attempt.

Penn State has covered in just one of its last seven games at Indiana.

Sean Clifford #14 of the Penn State Nittany Lions attempts a pass
Scott Taetsch / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via AFP

Michigan State vs Illinois

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 5, 3:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network)
  • Line: Illinois -17

This has been a rough stretch for Michigan State as the Spartans (3-5, 1-4 Big Ten) played national title contenders Ohio State and Michigan. In between was a home game against a Wisconsin team expected to compete for a division title coming into the season.

The Spartans held their own over the last two weeks, but can they sustain drives against an Illinois defense that is allowing the fewest yards (224.5) among the 131 FBS teams?

The Illinois offense is led by Chase Brown, who leads the nation with 1,208 rushing yards for the Fighting Illini (7-1, 4-1).

Illinois is 5-0 at home and has a one-game lead in the Big West West Division standings.

The total has gone under in four of the last six games between Michigan State and Illinois.

Michigan vs Rutgers

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 5, Noon ET (ABC)
  • Line: Michigan -26

Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh isn’t always known for his restraint when his team has a comfortable lead late in games. With the Wolverines fifth in the initial college football playoff odds rankings, will he look to add some points late in Saturday’s game against a Rutgers team that has not won a game against a ranked opponent since joining the Big Ten?

Rutgers (4-4, 1-4 Big Ten) lost running back and leading rusher Samuel Brown to a season-ending injury, and the passing game has been a mess regardless of which player is in at quarterback.

Michigan (8-0, 5-0) managed only 112 rushing yards in last year’s Rutgers game. Look for Blake Corum and the Wolverines to have more success this time around.

The total has gone over in seven of the last eight games between Rutgers and Michigan.

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