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Heisman Stock Up, Stock Down: Volunteer Force

Tennessee QB Hooker Rising up List of Candidates

There is starting to be some movement when it comes to the Heisman Trophy race and not all of it is heading in a positive direction.

One rough outing can send a top contender tumbling down and a couple of strong efforts can result in a dark-horse candidate emerging from the shadows. With 18 teams ranked in the Associated Press Top 25 poll facing teams with winning records this week, including five matchups of ranked teams, there could be more changes coming,

Quarterback C.J. Stroud #7 of the Ohio State Buckeyes warms up
Gaelen Morse / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via AFP

Both of those things took place during Week 4 as there has been a bit of a shakeup according to the college football odds when it comes to the current Heisman Trophy odds.

Keep on reading for more of the players trending both up and down in the Heisman Trophy race.

Let’s check the latest NCAAF picks, stats, injury reports, and NCAAF predictions. We’ve plenty of Vegas NCAAF expert picks for you to consider.

Tennessee QB Making a Move

Seeing Hendon Hooker complete more than 75% of his passes against Akron was nice, but when he did the same thing against SEC rival Florida his Heisman odds certainly were impacted.

After holding steady at +4000 following Tennessee Volunteers‘ win against Akron, the odds are now at +1600 after he was 22 of 28 for 349 yards with two touchdown passes and no interceptions in the 38-33 win over Florida. Hooker added 112 yards and another TD as he delivered on the big stage.

— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) September 26, 2022

He still has some work to do to catch SEC quarterbacks Bryce Young of Alabama and Stetson Bennett of Georgia. Their odds remained at +450 and +800, respectively.

There is some separation at the top of the leaderboard.

Two weeks ago, Ohio State Buckeyes’ C.J. Stroud, Alabama’s Young and Southern California‘s

Caleb Williams led the way, with odds ranging from +275 to +375.

Stroud has moved from +225 to +125 in the last two weeks and he is a solid No. 1 choice.

Stroud threw five touchdown passes as the expected tussle with Wisconsin turned into another blowout win for the Buckeyes.

Things were much tougher for Caleb Williams as he completed less than 50% of his passes for the second time in his brief college career.

Williams was 16 of 36 for 180 yards. However, his lone TD pass came late in the game to lift the Trojans past Oregon State. His odds moved from +300 to +600 as he is now third in the Heisman pecking order.

Young, last year’s Heisman winner, remains at +450 for the second week in a row.

Van Dyke Hits Roadblock

One of the bigger surprises in Week 4 was Miami falling to Middle Tennessee State when listed by the college football betting lines as a 25½-point favorite. It was the first time the Hurricanes lost as a 20-point favorite since a 2019 loss to Florida International.

Quarterback Tyler Van Dyke didn’t even finish the game. He ended up 16 of 32 for 138 yards with a touchdown pass and two costly interceptions. Van Dyke had +4000 odds heading into the Week 3 showdown with Texas A&M and now he is at +10000.

Levis Hits His Stride

While one quarterback hailing from Connecticut (Van Dyke) is heading the wrong way, another one is experiencing a better outcome.

After throwing four interceptions in the first three games of 2022, Kentucky’s Will Levis had four TD passes and no interceptions in a 31-23 win over Northern Illinois.

Levis has now thrown for more than 300 yards in three of his four games. He will have opportunities to show what he can do against some tougher competition as the Wildcats prepare to head back into SEC play. His odds to win the Heisman moved from +8000 to +6600.

Will Levis #7 of the Kentucky Wildcats runs the ball
Michael Hickey / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via AFP

Running Backs Have Work to Do

Is this the year when a running back wins the top individual award in college football once again? It is not looking good.

When looking at the top Heisman candidates among the running backs per the sportsbook, there is now a tie for the top spot at the position.

Michigan’s Blake Corum remained at +6600 despite his huge game against Maryland, when he finished with 243 yards. With Alabama’s Jahmyr Gibbs more of a factor catching the ball rather than running with it, his odds moved from +3300 to +6600.

Ohio State’s TreVeyon Henderson (+8000) is the next closest running back. He ran for 121 yards in the Wisconsin game.

The big mover among running backs is Devon Achane of Texas A&M, who went from +12500 to +8000 after running for a career-high 159 yards in the Aggies’ 23-21 win over Arkansas.

Bijan Robinson of Texas probably needs to start getting the ball more. In the Longhorns’ loss to Texas Tech, he averaged 6.3 yards per carry. However, he finished with only 16 rushing attempts. Robinson is second in the Big 12 with 67 rushes. If he had a workload like Deuce Vaughn of Kansas State (87 carries, 12 receptions in four games) Robinson would probably not be sitting at +6600 in the Heisman odds.

Vaughn (+17500) and Wisconsin’s Braelon Allen (+15000), who is coming off a 165-yard effort against Ohio State, are among the players severely undervalued in the current Heisman odds.

Matchup of the Week

  • Kentucky vs Ole Miss, Saturday, Noon ET (ESPN)

Mississippi Ole Miss has allowed just three touchdown passes in the first three games and will look to make life uncomfortable for Kentucky’s Levis in a game featuring two of the top four teams in the SEC in passing efficiency defense.

This will be the first time Levis is going against the Ole Miss defense. It will be interesting to see how he fares versus a Rebels defense that ranks second in the SEC with 13 sacks and third with 28 tackles for loss.

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