After a Week 1 filled with upsets, the AP Top 25 got shaken up in a big way and the repercussions are now being felt on the college football odds. Betting lines are shifting across a dozen games and we cover four games that are seeing the most significant movement.
NCAA Line Movement Week 2 covers the state rivalry between Tulsa and Oklahoma State along with three risers from the Top 25. Be sure to check these line movements before making any college football picks for this week.
Tulsa at Oklahoma State
Opener: Oklahoma State -12. Current Line: Oklahoma State -13
The Golden Hurricanes (0-1) are receiving hefty support but the line has shifted heavily in favor of the Cowboys (1-0). The home team is hovering just outside the Top 25 after a narrow victory over Missouri State. The absence of Cowboys quarterback Spencer Sanders due to COVID protocols was in large part to blame.
No official word has been released on Sanders’ status, but he is likely to come back hence why the line is shifting towards the Cowboys. The totals, however, have gone in the other direction, narrowing from its opener of 52½ to 50½.
Middle Tennessee at (19) Virginia Tech
Opener: Virginia Tech -19. Current Line: Virginia Tech -20½
Virginia Tech (1-0) debuts in the Top 25 after shutting down highly touted North Carolina despite being bet against last week. It’s no surprise that nearly three-quarters of wagers have been placed on them. Middle Tennessee (1-0) also won its opener but is facing a gargantuan step up in competition.
The Hokies were 8-7-0 against the spread (ATS) as home favorites from 2019 to 2020. However, Virginia Tech only ranked 48th in Expected Points Average per play (EPA/Play) against UNC and flipped the script by using its defense. It will need to shut down Middle Tennessee entirely and drop a 30-burger based on the scores and odds projection.
UNLV at (23) Arizona State
Opener: Arizona St. -32½. Current Line: Arizona St. -34
The Rebels (0-1) find themselves as a popular fade thanks to losing to Eastern Washington last week. The Sun Devils (1-0), meanwhile, opened a can of you-know-what on Southern Utah despite failing to cover. As if a 32½-point spread wasn’t large enough, about four-fifths of online support are pushing for them to win by an even larger margin.
Arizona State gets stopped 3 times within the 5 yard line at the end of the game to keep the total UNDER 57!! Lots of bad beats going around already 😱😳 #southernutah #badbeat pic.twitter.com/Q9WnBMTBJq
— 712Sports (@712Sports) September 3, 2021
That’s an interesting take as Arizona State is 0-4 in spreads where they were favored by double-digit points since 2019. Still, given how UNLV is one of the worst teams in the country it’s hard to convince anyone to support them.
Stanford at (14) USC
Opener: USC -18. Current Line: USC -17
A Californian rivalry caps off Saturday as Stanford (0-1) heads to the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the 14th-ranked Trojans (1-0). The support on the sportsbook has been mostly on Stanford thanks to a change at quarterback. It will be Tanner McKee filling in for Jack West, who didn’t look so bad in a losing effort against Kansas State.
USC blew out Stanford in their last meeting but Stanford won the previous matchup. But the Trojans have a tendency to start slow and Stanford has a solid defense. Seventeen points does seem hefty for a team that may need time to pull away.