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SEC Rundown: Will Wildcats Corner Bulldogs?

Ole Miss-Arkansas Showdown Could Be One to Watch

The Southeastern Conference title game matchup is already determined with Georgia set to meet Louisiana State. However, there are still plenty of key games involving SEC teams in the final week of the regular season.

Georgia remains on top of the College Football Playoff rankings while LSU comes in at No. 5. According to the College Football Playoffs odds, Georgia (-140) is favored to win the national title with LSU well back at +4000.

SEC Rundown: Will Wildcats Corner Bulldogs?
Will Rogers #2 of the Mississippi State Bulldogs - Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images/AFP

The Bulldogs received 62 of the 63 first-place votes in the Associated Press Top 25 poll and 59 of the 62 votes in the American Football Coaches Association poll. LSU is sixth in both national polls.

Let’s check the latest NCAAF picks, stats, injury reports, and NCAAF predictions. We’ve plenty of NCAAF expert picks for you to consider.

Game of the Week

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 24, 7 p.m. (ESPN)
  • Line: Ole Miss -2½

While the Egg Bowl doesn’t have SEC or national championship implications, this could be a classic.

Mississippi State attempts more passes per game than any other team in the SEC, while the Rebels of Ole Miss run the ball more frequently than any other conference squad.

Ole Miss came into the season with the seventh-best odds to win the SEC title, and Mississippi State was 12th, so both have exceeded their expectations.

Quarterback Will Rogers has not beaten Ole Miss in his two previous Egg Bowl starts, but he has been productive, completing some 69.7% of his passes (776 yards, four touchdowns, no interceptions).

Mississippi State averages 21.6 rushing attempts in conference play, 10 less than any other team. Do not expect a balanced offense in this one, especially since Ole Miss is 10th in the SEC in efficiency against the pass.

Ole Miss freshman Quinshon Judkins has run for nearly 1,400 yards with 16 scoring runs.

Mississippi State has covered against the college football odds in just one of four road games. Ole Miss is only 2-4 ATS at home.

Rest of the Schedule

Arkansas vs Missouri

  • Date, time (TV): Friday, Nov. 25 (CBS)
  • Line: Arkansas -3

Arkansas was ranked earlier in the season but failed to live up to those expectations thanks to three losses by three points or less.

Missouri (5-6, 2-5 SEC) can become bowl eligible with a win. Missouri quarterback Brady Cook is averaging 236.8 passing yards in the five wins to go with eight touchdowns and two interceptions. In the six losses, the numbers dropped to 180.5 yards with four TDs and five interceptions.

For Arkansas (6-5, 3-4), a bright spot has been running back Raheim Sanders, one of two SEC players with more than 1,000 rushing yards. Drew Sanders is the conference leader with 8½ sacks.

Arkansas has covered against the college football odds in four of the last five games against Missouri while the total has gone under in eight of the last 10 games in the series. The total is 55½ for this matchup.

Florida vs Florida State

  • Date, time (TV): Friday, Nov. 25, 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
  • Line: Florida State -9½
    SEC Rundown: Will Wildcats Corner Bulldogs?
    Montrell Johnson Jr. #2 of the Florida Gators – Carly Mackler/Getty Images/AFP

This game doesn’t have the national title game implications that it did during a different era. However, both teams do come into the game with winning records so there has been some progress.

Florida (6-5) is third in the SEC with an average of 6.8 yards per play.

Montrell Johnson, who followed head coach Billy Napier from Louisiana to Florida, had 261 rushing yards in back-to-back wins against Texas A&M and South Carolina. However, he was limited to 32 yards in an upset loss to Vanderbilt.

Florida State (8-3) is averaging nearly 100 more yards per game than it put up a season ago.

Florida’s second-leading tackler, Ventrell Miller, will miss the first half after being called for targeting in the Gators’ last game while third-leading receiver Xzavier Henderson is questionable for Florida.

The total has gone under in eight of the last 11 games when Florida played in Tallahassee. This year’s matchup has a total of 57½.

Take A Look At These Other 2 NCAAF Special Articles

Georgia Tech vs Georgia

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 26, Noon ET (ESPN)
  • Line: Georgia -35½

This one could get out of control early on.

Georgia Tech (5-6) is 12th in the ACC in total defense and has allowed the most plays of 10 yards or longer in the conference.

No. 1 Georgia can wrap up an undefeated regular season with a win and the college football odds are projecting a comfortable win for the defending national champions.

After throwing 29 touchdowns a season ago, Georgia quarterback Stetson Bennett only has 14 in 2022. With the Bulldogs in the SEC Championship Game and the team to beat in the race for the national title, who is complaining?

Georgia will be without two of its top defensive players as linebacker Nolan Smith and defensive lineman Jalen Carter are both sidelined.

The college football predictions total has gone under in 10 of Georgia’s last 13 games. That is one of the reasons why the total is set at 49.

South Carolina vs Clemson

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 26, Noon ET (ABC)
  • Line: Clemson -14½

Good luck trying to figure out this South Carolina team.

The good Gamecocks upset then-nationally ranked Kentucky and stunned the SEC and the country with a 63-38 win over Tennessee. However, South Carolina also lost to Missouri and was blown out by Florida.

Quarterback Spencer Rattler has been a part of four wins over ranked teams dating back to his time at Oklahoma. The most recent win was his most impressive performance as he threw for 438 yards and six touchdowns in a 63-38 win over Tennessee.

After knocking Tennessee out of the national championship picture, can the Gamecocks do the same against ACC powerhouse Clemson?

Clemson (10-1) is allowing just 301 yards in conference play. Will Shipley needs 40 yards to hit 1,000 rushing yards. He ran for 128 yards in the 2021 matchup with South Carolina.

Clemson has won seven straight games against South Carolina while eight of the last 11 games in the series went under the total. The total is currently sitting at 51½.

South Carolina leading rusher Marshawn Lloyd is questionable for the game with a quad injury.

Louisville vs Kentucky

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 26, 3 p.m. ET (SEC Network)
  • Line: Kentucky -2½

When the season began, this matchup figures to be highlighted by Heisman Trophy candidates being the headliners.

Louisville’s Malik Cunningham and Will Levis of Kentucky played their way out of the Heisman conversation weeks ago.

Kentucky (6-5) went from being the team that Vanderbilt snapped its 26-game SEC losing streak against to going toe-to-toe with defending national champion Georgia.

After being suspended for the first four games of the season, Kentucky running back Chris Rodriguez has rushed for more than 100 yards four times in his seven games.

Kentucky ranks third in the SEC in total defense and scoring defense so it is clear that the issues have come on the other side of the ball.

Cunningham has just eight TD passes for Louisville (7-4) but he does have 11 scoring runs. He is questionable for the game with a shoulder injury.

Kentucky has covered in four of the last five meetings with Louisville while the total has gone over in six of the last seven meetings. The total is 43½.

Auburn vs Alabama

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 26, 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • Line: Alabama -22

It seems odd that the two teams playing in the Iron Bowl aren’t in the national championship picture.

Alabama (9-2, 5-2) is in the top 10 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings. However, playing Auburn (5-6, 2-5) won’t help the Crimson Tide’s hopes of moving up in the rankings. There is no SEC title game in Alabama’s future.

Reigning Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young of Alabama is third in the SEC in passing efficiency. Auburn’s Robby Ashford is 13th as he has just six TD passes with seven interceptions in 11 games as a freshman.

The game features three of the top pass rushers in the SEC. Alabama’s Will Anderson Jr. has eight sacks while Auburn’s Derick Hall and Colby Wooden have combined for 13 sacks.

Alabama running back Jahmyr Gibbs and cornerback Eli Ricks are both questionable for the game.

The total has gone under in five of the last seven games between Alabama and Auburn. The total for Saturday’s Iron Bowl is at 49½.

LSU vs Texas A&M

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 26, 7 p.m. ET (ESPN)
  • Line: LSU -10
    SEC Rundown: Will Wildcats Corner Bulldogs?
    Jayden Daniels #5 of the LSU Tigers – Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images/AFP

Louisiana State (9-2, 6-1) has already earned a spot in the SEC title game and needs not to take this game lightly.

It might be hard to find a team that has underachieved more than Texas A&M (4-7, 1-6). The Aggies opened more than a few eyes by upsetting Alabama last season and then added the top-ranked recruiting class in the country so expectations were pretty high.

Texas A&M snapped a six-game losing streak with a win over lowly UMass and even that game was more challenging than expected.

Aggies running back Devon Achane is 113 yards shy of the 1,000-yard mark. However, he is questionable for the game with a foot injury.

Former Arizona State quarterback Jayden Daniels has 15 TD passes and just two interceptions in his first season at LSU.

LSU has covered in each of the last 10 games against Texas A&M.

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt

  • Date, time (TV): Saturday, Nov. 26, 7:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network)
  • Line: Tennessee -14

Who would have thought that Vanderbilt would be tied for the third-longest active SEC winning streak heading into the final week of the regular season?

The Commodores are coming off wins against Kentucky and Florida as 17- and 14-point underdogs.

Ray Davis has run for 251 yards in those two games as Vanderbilt posted consecutive SEC wins for the first time since 2018. Ironically, the second of those wins came against Tennessee. The Volunteers have won the last three meetings by 18, 25 and 24 points.

Tennessee is without star quarterback Hendon Hooker as he suffered a season-ending knee injury during last week’s loss to South Carolina.

Joe Milton is a veteran quarterback who had a pair of 300-yard passing games dating back to his time at Michigan. Milton will be throwing to Jalin Hyatt, who has more receiving plays of at least 30 yards than any player in the country.

Vanderbilt has covered in four of the last five games against Tennessee.

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