The LSU Tigers, one of this season’s top Vegas bowl lines favorites will be looking to score its second SEC-ridden win of the season when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday night. After losing to FSU in week 1, LSU has definitely stepped up its game, thrashing Grambling State by 72-10 in week 2, followed by another commanding win against Mississippi State by 41-14 last week.
Arkansas on the other hand will be looking to revert last week’s heartbreaking loss at home against BYU by 38-31 by pulling off one of the biggest weekend football betting upsets thus far in the season. But with an offense that has seen better days, will they stand a chance against a dominant LSU defense?
With a showdown at Tiger Stadium ahead, what are some of our Arkansas vs LSU Expert NCAAF Picks?
Let’s talk SEC football.
LSU Needs Defense to Step Up
When you have an offense that’s all about bringing the heat in every series, you can’t have a defense that’s just playing to live another day. Just look at the results from their last two games.
Scoring 72 and 41 points, LSU put up some of the biggest college football scores from the weekend each week. After their week 1 loss against Florida State, LSU’s defense has stepped up its game though, allowing 12 points on average per game, and with reason.
Against an offense like Arkansas, the defense has to turn up the intensity a few notches to help the offense secure a win. LSU will need to play stronger football on defense, pressuring the QB more, pushing the opposing O-line to create gaps with which to reach the passer, and bring up the sack tally up which stands at five in three games. With that covered, a win should be very easy to reach.
Arkansas is good, but not “beat LSU” good.
To truly measure how good this Arkansas team has been this season, looking into their opponents is key. They beat WCU in week one, and followed that up by routing Kent State in week 2. But once they faced off against a more competitive team like BYU, that’s where Arkansas true worth was put into question.
For the Razorbacks, winning on the road against one of the biggest teams in the SEC could be a changing point in their season. In order to do so though, explosiveness will be needed from the team from beginning to end.
Senior QB KJ Jefferson will need to play some of his best ball, trying to break LSU’s secondary fast and often. Without starting RB Raheim “Rocket” Sanders helping out in the running game, it will be up to Jefferson to lead this offense into what promises to be a dog fight.
On defense, Arkansas will need to focus its attention on stopping LSU’s QB Jayden Daniels as he continues to have an outstanding season with the Tigers. By shutting him out as much as possible, the visitors could hold a real chance to shock LSU at Tiger Stadium, or at least put up a valiant fight.
LSU vs Arkansas Betting Lines
LSU vs Arkansas Game Information
- Game: LSU (2-1) vs Arkansas (2-1)
- Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, Louisiana
- Day/Time: Saturday, September 23, 7:00 PM ET
- LSU vs Arkansas Live Stream: ESPN
Roll with Arkansas Defense for ATS win
If we learned anything from Arkansas’ loss against BYU it’s that this defense is like night and day when facing opposing offenses. Pin them against a team like Western Carolina or Kent State and the Razorbacks shine. But when facing an offense from a more established team like the Cougars, Arkansas showed that they might be all bark but no bite.
Allowing an average of 19 points on 257.3 yards per matchup, this Razorbacks’ defense could be in for another rough weekend of work against one of the best offenses in the SEC. It could be argued that their only real strength lies in defending against the run. But what will happen once the Tigers decide to focus their offense on their passing game?
With LSU clearly being the better team, expecting a win from Arkansas is a big no-no. But taking the Razorbacks to lose by less than 17 points is a big yes-yes when it comes to your weekend football betting plans.
College Football Pick: Arkansas +17 ½ (-110)
Take Over as Tigers Roar to Victory
Twenty-four, seventy-two, and forty-one. That’s the amount of points LSU’s offense has scored in the first three games of the season. With an average of 45.7 points per game, the Tigers can brag about having one of the best playing offenses in the SEC.
With Daniels continuing to dominate with his passing and rushing skills, I wouldn’t put it past LSU to once again strive for a high scoring affair. Combine that with an Arkansas offense that will be looking to avenge their loss from last weekend and it makes total sense for online betting fans to put some money on the Tigers and Razorbacks clearing the over, which stands at 54 ½ with ease on Saturday.
College Football Pick: Over 54 ½ (-110)