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Best ACC Bets Week 8: Maye-Day for UNC and One Home Run Total Spot Among Top Picks

Heading into the upcoming weekend of college football action, the ACC has one of the most intriguing slates of games out of any conference. While it may not look that way, only two teams below .500 are playing, as Pittsburgh (2-4) faces Wake Forest and Virginia (1-5) gets the tall task of going on the road to face the 6-0 No. 10 ranked North Carolina Tar Heels.

It’ll be a fun week of action and should bring some tough betting sports as well. But we’re going to break down the best bets in any and all fashions, including the spread, total, and even potentially the best ACC prop bets of Week 8 if one or two jump out.

Haynes King #10 of the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | todd kirkland/getty images/afp

Boston College and Georgia Tech Offer High-Scoring Action

It’s tough to fault anyone who’s not overly excited about a battle of 3-3 teams in Boston College against Georgia Tech. That said, the way these teams match up on paper should set fans up for a fun one with a ton of scoring if things go to plan.

While Boston College allows 210.7 passing yards per game, the Eagles have run into daunting results when facing quarterbacks capable of tossing multiple touchdown passes. This proved to be the case when they pulled out a 27-24 win over Virginia two games ago, as Cavaliers QB Tony Muskett threw for 247 yards and three scores. One game prior to that, they gave up 56 points to Louisville when Jack Plummer threw for 388 yards and five touchdown passes on 18 completions.

As for Georgia Tech, the Yellow Jackets have had some serious struggles against opposing running games recently, and that’s putting it lightly. Here’s a quick rundown of the top rushing totals from their most recent four games:

  • Miami RB Donald Chaney: 24 for 106 yards
  • Bowling Green RBTerion Stewart:26/138/1
  • Wake Forest RB JusticeEllison: 18/137
  • Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart: 14/136/2
  • Ole Miss RB Ulysses Bentley IV: 6/61/1

 

Circle Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart’s name on that list. Boston College QB Thomas Castellanos has tallied 500 rushing yards on 98 attempts with seven touchdowns and is fresh off a 142-yard, four-touchdown rushing performance against Army.

On the other side, Georgia Tech QB Haynes King came back to earth against Miami, throwing for 151 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Prior to that, though, King had thrown for two or more touchdowns in every game and also could move the sticks with his legs, totaling 222 rushing yards and two scores. King has 16 passing touchdowns and six interceptions.

The total for the Boston College vs. Georgia Tech game is high, currently sitting at 60 points, but we should see a plethora of offense here and plenty of touchdowns to clear that mark.

College Football Pick: Total over 60 points (-110)

 

Potential bonus pick to monitor: If the option for either Castellanos’ rushing yards is set at a decent number, or the odds for him to score two or more (non-passing) touchdowns is high, they’re both worth targeting also.

Florida State and Duke Fight It Out in Low-Scoring Affair

The No. 15 ranked Duke Blue Devils have been arguably one of the biggest surprises in college football, and their incredible dash to a 5-1 star began with a nationally shocking result in the form of a 28-7 victory over then-No. 9 ranked Clemson. Duke’s only loss this season came on a last-minute score by Notre Dame in a game they looked bound to win for about 90% percent of the contest.

And the reason Duke has been so great is its dominant defense, which deserves as much national praise as possible. The Blue Devils have allowed 9.8 points per game, and even their loss to Notre Dame featured the defense holding an exceptional trio of QB Sam Hartman, RB Audric Estime, and WR Mitchell Evans to 13 points until the Irish’s touchdown with 31 seconds remaining.


Obviously, Florida State and Jordan Travis playing at home with their sights set on a spot in the College Football Playoff will be an incredibly tall task. Florida State has been firing on all cylinders since its overtime road victory against Clemson three weeks ago.

But Florida State’s defense deserves its praise as well, allowing 18.3 points per game. And with either Duke QB Riley Leonard at less than 100% after missing last game or backup QB Henry Belin IV, who completed just 4-of-12 passes (with two touchdowns, shockingly) taking the field, I think the Seminoles hold the Blue Devils largely in check, and even if Duke’s defense can hold it together for a half or so, FSU should still breakthrough.

But the end result? A low-scoring game and a total that stays under 49 points.

College Football Pick: Under 49 points (-110)

 

Drake Maye Touchdown Passes

And now for the prop bet that finds its way onto the best bets of the week in the ACC. While I typically hold the props until later in the week, this one is a spot I had circled out of curiosity to see what it was set at. North Carolina checks in as a big home favorite at -23½ against Virginia, which picked up its lone victory last week in a 27-13 victory over William & Mary.

North Carolina should roll here, and a large reason behind that is because sophomore quarterback Drake Maye looks like the player many touted as a preseason candidate to push USC’s Caleb Williams for the Heisman Trophy. After a slow start, (he still threw two touchdown passes in two of the first three games), Maye appears to be firing on all cylinders again.

Maye threw three touchdown passes against Syracuse in a 40-7 win, then followed that with a four-passing touchdown performance in a 41-31 win over Miami where he only completed 51.5% of his passes.

When Maye’s odds at +112 to throw three or more touchdown passes against Virginia came out, it jumped off the page. Prior to the game against William & Mary, Virginia allowed two passing touchdowns to Boston College’s Castellanos and NC State’s Brennan Armstrong. Both quarterbacks are solid, but they’re also dual-threat options and neither of them has the passing upside that Maye has. I like the spot quite a bit here for Maye against an overmatched Virginia team.

College Football Pick: Drake Maye 3 or more TD passes (+112)

 

 

Which ACC player will account for the most touchdowns in Week 8?


Drake Maye. The pick last week was Maye and rolling with him again is a fine play. For good measure, there’s a great case to be made for Boston College quarterback Thomas Castellanos this week, as he could absolutely rush for 2-3 touchdowns and throw for 1-2 more.

Which ACC Week 8 game is most likely to go over the total?


Boston College vs. Georgia Tech. The highest total on the board with the highest upside to smash that number if things play out the way the stats indicate they should. Virginia vs. North Carolina is an interesting one also, but there are too many questions/concerns about the Cavaliers offense to buy fully into that as the choice.

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