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Big 12 Week 3 Best Bets: Be Wary of Texas Letdown

The Week 3 Big 12 matchups offer some of the best college football picks against the spread. After going 3-2 in Week 2, we are back to (hopefully) provide more winners for the Week 3 college football lines around the Big 12. For the season, we are sitting at 5-4 and trending in the right direction.

The latest college football odds on BetUS offer plenty of intriguing Big 12 spreads for Week 3.

Big 12 Week 3 Best Bets: Be Wary of Texas Letdown
Joseph Adedire #14 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders | John E. Moore III/Getty Images/AFP

Texas continues to be the talk of not just the Big 12 (for one more season at least) but of the entire college football landscape. The Longhorns would be wise not to overlook a Wyoming team that already upset Texas Tech this season.

Fresh off the high of the ’Bama win combined with conference play beginning in Week 4, my Spidey-sense is up as Texas takes on Wyoming. The 29-point spread feels like an overreaction to beating the Crimson Tide.

Let’s talk more about Texas-Wyoming and my other best Big 12 college football bets for Week 3.

Wyoming +29 vs Texas

Fresh off an emotional win over Alabama, this feels like a perfect spot to fade Texas. There is not only a chance for a potential letdown here for the Longhorns, but Wyoming has already pulled off one sizable opponent against another Big 12 opponent. The Cowboys took down Texas Tech in Week 1 despite being a 14-point underdog.


This will be their toughest test yet, but Wyoming has the defense that will allow them to hang with Texas. Look for the Longhorns to eventually pull out the victory, but do not be surprised if this game is close in the second half.

Texas may be back, but I’m taking Wyoming to cover the more than four-touchdown spread.

Kansas State -5 vs Missouri

Kansas State is somehow managing to fly under the radar despite winning the Big 12 last season. The Wildcats boat-raced Missouri 40-12 when these two teams squared off in 2022.

It may not be this same type of blowout in Week 3, but Kansas State has the weapons that can give Missouri fits. Will Howard is playing like one of the top quarterbacks in the country. Kansas State receiver Phillip Brooks annihilated the Troy defense with seven receptions for 94 yards and a touchdown in Week 2.


Kansas State is coming off an impressive 42-13 victory over Troy, snapping a 12-game winning streak for the Trojans, the second longest in the country. These teams don’t like each other, but look for the Wildcats to comfortably cover the five points.

TCU -7.5 vs Houston

TCU got roasted for losing to Colorado in Week 1, but something tells me this defeat will look better as the season goes on. The Horned Frogs bounced back with a 41-6 route of Nicholls State in Week 2.

Meanwhile, Houston has been our nemesis all season after upsetting UTSA in Week 1 before surprisingly losing to Rice the following game. It is not just that Houston lost to Rice, but the Cougars trailed 28-0 to start the game.

Kudos for the comeback to force overtime, but Houston is likely to be overmatched against TCU.

Horned Frogs quarterback Chandler Morris was in the zone in Week 2, completing 26 of 30 passes for 263 yards and two touchdowns in Week 2. Look for Houston to struggle putting up points against TCU’s defense as the Horned Frogs cover the -7½-point spread.

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