Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks
Visiting Falcons Looking to Stay in Contention for Division Title
Toledo Back in MAC Championship Game
Toledo has already secured a spot in the Mid-American Conference title game. Bowling Green has a chance to join the Rockets there as the Falcons are just a game behind first-place Ohio in the East Division with a game coming up against the Bobcats.
The Rockets are undefeated at home while Bowling Green is 2–2 on the road. The host Rockets are favored by 15½ points for Tuesday night’s matchup. They are just 1-3 against the spread in their last four games as a double-digit favorite.
Toledo is just 4-6 against the college football spreads and that is just ahead of 3-6-1 Bowling Green.
Toledo (+160) has the best odds to win the MAC title while Bowling Green is priced at +1400 according to the college football playoff odds.
Let’s check the latest college football odds, stats, injury reports, and college football lines for Bowling Green vs Toledo. We’ve plenty of NCAA football odds for you to consider.
Bowling Green Looking to Bounce Back
Bowling Green’s division title odds took a bit of a hit with last week’s 40-6 loss to Kent State. The Falcons struggled not only running the ball, with 65 yards on the ground, but allowed 201 yards.
The struggles on the road are not a new phenomenon as only Akron has fewer rushing yards per game among MAC teams than Bowling Green. The Falcons are 1-4 when rushing for less than 100 yards.
The Falcons are -5 in turnover margin in the two conference losses
Six of Bowling Green’s last seven road games finished under the Las Vegas odds total.
Defense Powering the Rockets
Toledo had the worst defense in the conference just three years ago, allowing 475.7 yards per game. The Rockets have allowed 362, 352 and now a conference-best 341 yards per game.
Ten of the top 13 tacklers are either juniors or seniors so the stars on the defense have paid their dues.
Junior Dallas Grant leads the way with 89 tackles and senior Dyontae Johnson has 80 tackles.
The Rockets are the only MAC team to allow fewer than 200 passing yards per game and have the best passing efficiency mark as well. Quinyon Mitchell (four interceptions, two defensive touchdowns) leads the secondary. Maxen Hook has clinched the last two games with late interceptions for the Rockets.
Sophomore safety Maxen Hook has grabbed game-clinching interceptions in each of the past two games vs EMU and BSU. #GoRockets pic.twitter.com/D0wBwyeUpB
— Toledo Football (@ToledoFB) November 13, 2022
The college football betting lines total has gone over in seven of Toledo’s last 10 games.
Bowling Green vs Toledo Game Injuries
Bowling Green vs Toledo Head-to-Head
Toledo has won 11 of the last 12 meetings with Bowling Green. The Falcons are 3-3 against the Las Vegas odds over the last six matchups.
Toledo has averaged 33 points in the last three home games in the series.
Four of the last six games between the teams finished over the total. The total is set for 51 in Tuesday’s game. It is the second-lowest number over the last 15 meetings, with only last year’s total of 50 being lower.
Bowling Green vs Toledo Game Information
- Game: Bowling Green (5-5, 4-2 MAC) vs Toledo (7-3, 5-1)
- Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, Ohio
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Nov. 15, 7 p.m. ET
- Bowling Green vs Toledo Live Stream: ESPN
Bowling Green vs Toledo Betting Lines
Bowling Green vs Toledo Picks & Prediction
There is a 50% chance of precipitation, but the question is whether it will arrive as rain or snow.
Both teams seem to be in pretty good shape in the injury department.
Bowling Green has covered in just one of the four road games while all four of the Falcons’ road contests finished over the Las Vegas odds total.
Bowling Green has scored touchdowns on just 17 of 33 drives into the red zone. However, Toledo has allowed the highest percentage of touchdowns on red zone possessions so perhaps the Falcons can score enough to stay in this one.
Toledo’s Dequan Finn and Bowling Green’s Matt McDonald are second and fourth, respectively, in passing efficiency in conference play. Finn is also the leading rusher for Toledo.
The Toledo Rockets are listed at -700 in our Vegas college football lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Rockets, you have a chance to win $14. The Bowling Green Falcons are +490, offering a chance to win $490 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Toledo an 87.50% chance to win, with Bowling Green at 16.95%.
