College Football Championship Weekend kicks off with a bang when the Liberty Flames host the New Mexico State Aggies in the Conference USA Championship Game. Our college football betting lines heavily favor the No. 20 Flames to win this match.
Believe it or not, the Flames are one of four teams who finished the regular season 12-0. The other three, Michigan, Georgia and Washington, are all headed to the CFP (probably), while the Flames have to settle for a Top 25 finish and a chance to beat the Aggies twice this year.
It took Jamey Chadwell one season at @LibertyFootball to achieve something that no school IN THE STATE OF VIRGINIA has ever done – win 12 games and go undefeated in the regular season.
— Simon Carroll (@NFLDraftSi) November 26, 2023
Meanwhile, the Aggies are out for blood after Liberty handed them their only CUSA season loss in Week 2. According to the odds at our sportsbook, the Aggies will have an uphill battle to earn revenge with the spread at 10 points in favor of the home team.
Read on for our college football predictions today for what should be a heated clash between rival teams on Friday night in Virginia.
Flames Look to Cap off Historic Season
Liberty had a season for the ages, becoming only the fourth 12-0 team in college football and cracking the top-25 rankings for the first time in school history.
Statistics and trends are the most accurate and useful tools when making college football picks. But I don’t see how you can bet against Liberty with the momentum they have built before they were ranked at all. Now that they are ranked for the first time ever, do you really think they will let New Mexico State ruin a perfect season? I think not.
Let’s not forget that Liberty spanked the Aggies in Week 2 with a 37-17 beatdown at home. I don’t see a world where the Aggies got 20 points better in the last 10 weeks. In fact, with injuries and fatigue, I’m willing to bet online that the Aggies are worse off than they were in Week 2.
Let’s take a quick look at Liberty’s offense if you want some stats to pour over. The Flames have lived up to their name and, with the fifth-ranked scoring offense, have been torching defenses. With the fourth-most yards per game (498.5), I don’t see who on New Mexico State’s defense will be able to slow Liberty down.
The Flames have an epic running game, ranking second in the nation with 5.9 yards per rush and the most rushing yards per game (295.4),
The Aggies may be one of the most profitable teams against the college football spread at 10-2-1, but they have already failed to cover once in this matchup. The outcome on Friday will be much the same.
New Mexico State vs Liberty NCAA football pick: Liberty -10
New Mexico State vs Liberty Game Information
- Game: New Mexico State (10-3, 7-1 C-USA) vs No. 20 Liberty (12-0, 8-0)
- Location: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
- Day/Time: Friday, Dec. 1, 7:00 p.m. ET
- New Mexico State vs Liberty Live Stream: ESPN
Questions of the Day
Who will have the edge on special teams, New Mexico State or Liberty?
Liberty is a better team from top to bottom and has a better special teams squad than New Mexico State.
Will New Mexico State be able to sustain long drives on offense and keep Liberty's offense off the field?
New Mexico State will struggle to move the ball against Liberty’s stiff defense and long drives will be at a premium.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.