While reviewing the NCAA football betting lines for Saturday, we found a battle of Pac-12 foes where one team is poised for an ATS cover. Let’s analyze this game in Corvallis and keep cashing our college football picks!
Cardinal Defense Stiffens
The Stanford defense finally showed up and registered their most impressive effort of the season in a 10-7 victory over Washington State last week. It was quite a feat considering the Cougars boast the No. 2 passing attack in college football, averaging 335.7 yards per game.
However, the Cardinal defense put the clamps on Washington State’s Cameron Ward, limiting the prolific junior passer to 241 yards, one touchdown and one interception.
Stanford’s Justin Lamson had the team’s only touchdown, a one-yard plunge into the end zone followed by a game-winning field goal by Joshua Karty in the final frame.
Beavers Climb the Rankings
No. 12 Oregon State moved up four spots in the rankings after their 26-19 road victory over Colorado. Ironically, the Beavers failed to cover the college football odds as 13-point road chalk yet still managed to get a rankings boost.
The win was strikingly similar to Stanford’s victory over Washington State in that the Beavers’ defense was tasked with containing Colorado quarterback Shedeur Sanders, who has the third-most passing yards in the nation.
Needless to say, they completed their mission as Oregon State held Sanders to 245 passing yards and a pair of touchdown strikes.
Stanford vs Oregon State Best Bet
I believe it is important to set your own NCAA football spreads before you peek at the actual college football spreads set by the oddsmakers. This way you’re not influenced and can then compare your lines to those that the pros are dealing with.
In this game, I set Oregon State at -14½ so you can imagine my amazement when I found they were being offered at 21 at the BetUS sportsbook. That’s a big difference and I believe the Cardinal are a live dog here for a few reasons.
First and foremost, this is a team that is improving. Stanford is not a good team but they are better than their 3-6 mark indicates. The last time they were given north of 20 points the Cardinal made a game of it against powerhouse Washington, ultimately bowing 42-33, but easily covering as 27½-point road dogs.
— Stanford Football (@StanfordFball) November 6, 2023
Secondly, Oregon State likes to run the ball, ranking 28th nationally at 188 rushing yards per game. Stanford, though, surrenders only 127.2 per contest, good for 41st.
When teams run, the clock burns, and when your side is getting nearly three touchdowns as a head start and has recently flexed on defense, that’s a flashing green light to take the points.
College Football Pick: Stanford +21
Stanford vs Oregon State Betting Lines
Stanford vs Oregon State Game Information
- Game: Stanford (3-6, 2-5 Pac-12) vs Oregon State (7-2, 4-2)
- Date/Time: Saturday, November 11, 5:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Ore.
- Stanford vs Oregon State Live Stream: ESPN
Questions of the Day
Which Oregon State player is most likely to go over 75½ rushing yards?
Damien Martinez is the Oregon State player most likely to go over 75½ rushing yards. He has done so in eight of nine games this season.
What is the best player prop bet to place on the Stanford vs Oregon State game?
The best player prop on the Stanford-Oregon State game is Over total rushing yards for Damien Martinez.