The college football season heads into Week 12, and there are lots of great upset opportunities on the board. Let’s look at three choice offerings in the sportsbook and one will have a familiar feel to it.
UPSET OF THE WEEK
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Clemson Tigers
NCAA Odds: Clemson -4.5
Yes, Wake Forest did not win that game, but the Demon Deacons led by 18 points before enduring an abrupt and improbable collapse. Wake Forest is clearly a better team than North Carolina, and the 18-point lead offered validation of that claim.
Yet, North Carolina – which has painfully underachieved this season – somehow got off the deck and rallied for a win, both outright and against the spread.
Now we’re going to stick with Wake Forest, because the Demon Deacons have once again been shown zero respect against an opponent which has lost a bunch of games and has played poorly this season.
Clemson is the most disappointing team in the United States, and it’s not even a close call. Clemson has been used to making the College Football Playoff and competing for national championships.
This year Clemson will play in a fourth-tier late-December bowl game. Wake Forest is trying to seal the ACC Atlantic Division championship.
The Demon Deacons are trying to lock up a bid in a New Year’s Six bowl game. They have a lot to play for, and they have been better than Clemson this season. They will cover, and they will win outright.
Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon State Beavers
Odds: Arizona State -3
The Arizona State Sun Devils were a six-point favorite last week on the road against a bad Washington Husky team, and they did not cover the spread.
They stay in the Pacific Northwest this week to face an Oregon State team which has a bad defense and a great offense. Crucially, Oregon State is a strong home team, having defeated Utah and Washington at home in Corvallis.
The Beavers have been a very bad road team, but that concern doesn’t apply in this game. Arizona State struggles on the road in miserable Northwest weather. Oregon State should cover and win outright.
Florida Gators at Missouri Tigers
Odds: Florida -8.5
Florida just gave up 52 points to FCS member Samford, an embarrassing display even though the Gators won, 70-52.
No elite school should allow 52 points to a lower-division school. Florida gave up 42 points in the first half and could not do a single thing right on defense.
Missouri has the SEC’s leading rusher, Tyler Badie, who has over 1,200 rushing yards this season. Florida’s defense is playing so poorly right now that Missouri should feel great about its chances of covering the spread, and legitimately confident about winning this game outright.
Keep in mind that Florida was a 17-point favorite against South Carolina and lost by 23 points, 40-17.