The college football season moves into Week 7 with volatility remaining a central theme. If you wanted to pick an upset of the week last week, Alabama losing to Texas A&M was the best possible choice. Yet, how many people felt A&M, an 18-point underdog, had a real shot at winning outright? Not many. The Aggies put up 41 points against Alabama while the Crimson Tide offense repeatedly stumbled in the red zone.
The result shook the college football world. Now let’s see if another mammoth upset occurs this week. Are there any teams favored by more than two touchdowns that are in acute danger of losing? What about the Texas A&M team that pulled off a massive shocker? There’s so much to consider when picking the upset of Week 7.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPSET OF THE WEEK 7
Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers
Odds: Texas A&M -9
This is the upset of the week. Turnabout is fair play. The Aggies just pulled a huge surprise, and now they have to be on guard against one. Is this unreasonable? It doesn’t seem like it. A&M played bad football for a month, and then suddenly – without warning or any real indication – played a magnificent game to beat Nick Saban and No. 1 Alabama.
Quarterback Zach Calzada, who looked lost and confused for several consecutive weeks and who scored just 22 points against Mississippi State, only 10 against Arkansas, suddenly torched Alabama’s defense with an array of passes – some of them down the field, some in the short flats, some in the intermediate range. Calzada and his offensive line were able to stand tall against Alabama’s defense and play a complete game in which they consistently attacked the Crimson Tide and found openings in Saban’s alignments. A&M’s defense was shaky. Alabama moved the ball all night long.
However, the Aggies were repeatedly able to get stops in the red zone and force the Tide to settle for field goals. Those stops made the difference between a three-point A&M win and a 14-point Aggie loss.
It was everything A&M could have hoped for… but the question now becomes, “Is this the real version of A&M, or was it a one-week display from a team that put all its emotional resources into one basket and played one game (at home and at night) as though there was no tomorrow?” If you think A&M’s performance against Bama was an aberration and not an indicator, this Missouri game certainly feels like a “fall back to Earth” situation in which A&M is going to stumble.
Missouri has an excellent chance of covering the College Football spread, but the Tigers are going to win this game outright at home. A&M hasn’t played a true road game all season long if you can believe that. The Aggies have played four home games and two neutral-site games. This could be an ambush.
Michigan State Spartans at Indiana Hoosiers
Odds: Michigan State -5
The Michigan State Spartans keep beating bad teams. Indiana isn’t a great team, but it might not be a bad one. The Hoosiers will be fired up for this one and have a defense that can give Michigan State some problems. This will be close the whole way.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at UTEP Miners
Odds: Louisiana Tech -7
This is a fascinating game. Louisiana Tech is favored by a touchdown, but the Bulldogs have only two wins. UTEP is 5-1. Louisiana Tech is favored because its strength of schedule is far, far better than UTEP’s slate, but still: This is a road night game for Tech, and UTEP has to be very confident. This could easily become an upset win for the high-flying Miners, who are exceeding everyone’s expectations and will try to confound the betting experts picks yet again.