The total of 41 points isn’t particularly high but the Iowa Hawkeyes aren’t like most teams. They’re 90th in FBS in scoring offense and ninth in scoring defense and they have scored 30 or more points three times. Their opponent, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, is more middle-of-the-pack offensively and has a solid defense so this matchup could be rather low-scoring.
It’s always hard to take the under on this low of a point total. However, if you’re betting online, it could be smart. It could get pretty cold in Lincoln on Friday and the Hawkeyes do a great job limiting their opponents’ passing attacks. Plus, Iowa picks off nearly two passes per game, so Scott Frost might opt to use his running game more as opposed to throwing with Adrian Martinez.
If that’s the case, then the under is a solid pick. Iowa likes to bog the game down and turn it into a battle on the ground, which would do wonders for keeping the point total as low as possible.
North Carolina at North Carolina State: 63 Points
The battle of the Tar Heel State should have a different feel than Iowa-Nebraska. If you’re making college football picks, consider the over here. North Carolina scores 37 points per game — 14th in the country — while N.C. State scores 33 points per game — 33rd in the country. The Wolfpack do have a good defense but the Tar Heels are putting up tons of points in conference play and have an elite trio between quarterback Sam Howell, running back Ty Chandler, and wide receiver Josh Downs.
N.C. State has a more balanced offense, led by signal-caller Devin Leary. The overall offensive numbers might not be terribly impressive, yet the Wolfpack can outscore teams when they need to. They’ve scored 27 or more points in every ACC game and should be able to score with ease against a North Carolina team that gives up nearly as many points as it scores.
Look for the point total to possibly go up a little bit as we get closer to kickoff, so it might be smart to jump in on the value now while it’s still good.
Cincinnati at East Carolina: 57½ Points
The Bearcats are one of the best two-way teams and they still might get frozen out of the College Football Playoff. Desmond Ridder could ride their 40-point-per-game offense to being a Heisman Trophy finalist while the defense forces a ton of turnovers and sacks the opposing quarterback a lot.
But, the Pirates can put up points as quarterback Holton Ahlers has a big arm and great targets in Tyler Snead and C.J. Johnson on the outside and Keaton Mitchell out of the backfield. The over/under on the BetUS Sportsbook isn’t especially high all things considered, so the over might be a smart bet with both teams likely going to put some points on the board.
Cincinnati usually comes pretty close to hitting the point total on its own, so East Carolina doesn’t even need to do much for the over to come through.
Miami (FL) at Duke: 68½ Points
Duke’s defense has had a rough season, to put things mildly. The Blue Devils are allowing nearly 40 points per game (sixth-worst in FBS) and are allowing nearly 47 points per game in ACC contests — in which they are 0-7. Though Miami is far from an offensive juggernaut, the Hurricanes have played a lot better lately and should be able to hang a ton of points on Duke.
Quarterback Tyler Van Dyke has stepped up for Miami and his connection with Charleston Rambo (1,070 receiving yards) has helped Manny Diaz’s team turn things around offensively.
Duke’s offense isn’t particularly strong — just 24 points per game — but running back Mataeo Durant and wide receivers Jake Bobo and Jalon Calhoun are solid playmakers who should help the Blue Devils move the ball to compete in this game at least for a little. This over is very reachable, especially because Miami will do a lot of the lifting itself.
Maryland at Rutgers: 52½ Points
Both the Terrapins and Scarlet Knights are 5-6, so this game is going to determine which team is bowl eligible and which team isn’t.
Neither team is great offensively but Maryland has the electric Taulia Tagovailoa — Tua’s brother — and a few standout skill position players so the Terrapins have more offensive potential than they’ve shown.
On the other side, Rutgers scores fewer points than Maryland does but the Terrapins give up nearly 34 points a night so the Scarlet Knights will be able to move the ball. Quarterback Noah Vedral has had an up-and-down season, yet he can still hurt opposing teams with his arm and his legs and Maryland has had trouble with mobile quarterbacks this year.
This over/under is a tougher call but since it’s pretty low considering that neither Maryland nor Rutgers is especially stout on defense, it might be another over you should take.