Florida State vs Notre Dame Prediction: Bet On Notre Dame -26 vs Florida State (-110)

When the schedule for the 2024 season came out, a matchup between the Florida State Seminoles and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish seemed like it would be one of the games of the year. Instead, the Seminoles come into Saturday’s contest against the 7-1 Irish with just one win on the season.

After going undefeated in the regular season in 2023, Florida State has seen it all go wrong this season, scoring 20 or more points just once, in a 24-21 season-opening loss to Georgia Tech. Meanwhile, the Irish are fighting for a spot in the expanded College Football Playoff field, having won six straight games.

Notre Dame is a 26-point favorite in this matchup. The over/under for the contest has been set at 42½ points. Let’s dig into this game a bit so you can make an informed decision for your college football best bets on this contest.

Florida State vs Notre Dame Game Information

• Game: Florida State (1-8) vs Notre Dame (7-1)
• Date/Time: Saturday, Nov. 9, 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN
• Florida State vs Notre Dame Live Stream: Fubo.tv

2 Bets to Make On Florida State vs Notre Dame

1. Can Irish Cover Large Point Spread?

The Irish don’t have a fantastic passing attack, but they can overwhelm an opponent by scoring in bunches. That was shown two weeks ago when Navy came into its contest with Notre Dame undefeated and came away with a 51-14 loss.

Quarterback Riley Leonard leads the way for the Irish, passing for 1,360 yards and eight touchdowns while also rushing for 539 yards and 11 scores. Notre Dame’s attack is hard to stop because of Leonard’s versatility, making it hard for defenses to commit to either the run or the pass.

Riley Leonard connects with Beaux Collins on a 3️⃣7️⃣ yard touchdown in the Navy win for this week’s @Allstate Call of the Game 🔊

First heard on @NotreDameRadio ☘️#GoIrish☘️ pic.twitter.com/UayK9sUCBW

— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) October 29, 2024

Sophomore running back Jeremiyah Love took over the team rushing lead after rushing for 102 yards and two touchdowns on just 12 carries against Navy. Love now has 564 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground while also making 16 receptions for 147 yards and a score.

In checking Florida State vs Notre Dame stats, the Seminoles have not been very good defensively this season, giving up 27.3 points per game. And the Seminoles’ offense has struggled to put points on the board, averaging just 14.7 points.

Can the Irish cover a 26-point spread, though? We think so. Notre Dame doesn’t have a conference championship game to play in to impress CFP voters, so any time it can rout a Power 4 Conference opponent, it’s going to do it.

Expect the Irish to play aggressive for the full 60 minutes on Saturday. You should back Notre Dame in your college football picks ATS.

Bet On Notre Dame -26 vs Florida State (-110)

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2. Over Is the Best Bet as Irish Run It Up

For those who bet online, Florida State has been blown out – losing by more than 14 points – in five of its eight losses, including each of the last two. Falling by 22 to undefeated Miami on the road two weeks ago is one thing, but losing by 24 to a .500 North Carolina squad at home last week shows just how far the Seminoles have fallen this season.

The quarterback situation has been in flux for the Seminoles all season, with Brock Glenn and Luke Kromenhoek splitting time since starter DJ Uiagalelei suffered a broken finger in a Sept. 29 loss to SMU. Neither has been especially effective, and neither is going to do well against the Irish.

So for this game to get to the total of 42½ points, the heavy lifting is going to need to be done by the Notre Dame offense.

As stated above, the Irish running game is explosive, ranking 13th in the country at 216.5 yards per game. But Leonard takes his shots down the field with his arm as well, and there’s no one target a defense can focus on.

Nine different players have been on the receiving end of touchdown passes for the Irish this season, with none having more than two scoring catches. Beaux Collins leads the team with 28 receptions for 359 yards after making two catches for 42 yards and a touchdown vs Navy.

The over is definitely in play with the Irish looking to impress CFP committee members. One of our top college football predictions for this game is the total to go over.

Bet on Florida State vs Notre Dame Over 42½ (-110)

Question Of The Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets