Things couldn’t be going much differently for the Florida Gators and No. 19 Florida State Seminoles as they enter Week 13. FSU is second in the ACC Atlantic while Florida is fourth in the SEC East. The Seminoles are on a 4-0 win streak both straight up and against the spread while the Gators are 2-3 SU in their last five games.
About the only thing these two have in common is zero chance of playing in their respective conference title games.
Let’s check the latest college football odds, stats, injury reports and college football lines for Florida vs Florida State. We’ve plenty of NCAA football odds for you to consider.
Gators Coming off Distressing Loss
Florida was heading toward a fantastic final four weeks of the season after beating Texas A&M and South Carolina. All that was left was to mop up Vanderbilt before taking on FSU. Things didn’t go as planned, and Florida lost to a poor Vandy team still riding high after beating No. 24 Kentucky the weekend prior. The spread missed by 21 points, with Florida closing as 14-point ATS favorites.
At 6-5, Billy Napier’s team is in real trouble, and rumblings of a coaching change are already beginning to surface.
It should be obvious by the loss to Vanderbilt that Florida is a team in trouble. The rushing game and defense squandered a 400-yard three-touchdown performance by quarterback Anthony Richardson. The ground game produced a total of 45 yards while the defense allowed Vanderbilt to score 31 points while accumulating only 283 yards total.
Despite all of this, Florida might not be a bad bet to cover. As road dogs, the Gators are 2-0, 3-1 against ranked teams and a perfect 4-0 ATS when underdogs.
FSU Unbeaten in November
Florida State is peaking at the right time with four wins in a row down the stretch. The Seminoles aren’t going to pass Clemson in the ACC Atlantic Standings, but a bowl game is in their future. Still, they can finish the season in the Top 25, and maybe even the top 15, with a decisive win over rival Florida.
It makes the decision on who to pick here, with FSU on a 4-0 ATS wins streak heading into Week 13. The Seminoles covered two of those games by 28 points or more than the spread and beat the spread by an average of 17.88 points in that time. To cover twice in three weeks by more than 28 points is a big deal, especially against good teams like Miami and Syracuse.
They also showed the skills to crush weaker opponents like Georgia Tech and Louisiana Lafayette while covering comfortably.
With a shot to finish in the top 15, I’d be shocked if Jordan Travis and Trey Denson didn’t lead this offense to a double-digit victory for the fifth straight game and sixth in eight weeks.
Florida vs Florida State Game Injuries
Florida vs Florida State Head-to-Head
The Gators are 3-0 straight up in the last three meetings between these two rivals. But, since 2012, Florida State is 5-3 straight up. Last season was the first time since 2017 that Florida State covered against Florida.
Florida vs Florida State Game Information
- Game: Florida vs Florida State
- Location: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
- Day/Time: Friday, Nov. 25, 8:30 p.m. ET
- Florida vs Florida State Live Stream: ESPN
Florida vs Florida State Betting Lines
Florida vs Florida State Picks & Prediction
Florida may be better than its loss to Vanderbilt suggests, but Florida State is on a roll right now with four straight wins against the spread. The difference in those games of +71.5 points over the spread combined tells the story of an offense on fire.
The Florida Gators are listed at +263 in our Vegas NCAAF lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Florida, you have a chance to win $263. The Florida State Seminoles are -320, offering a chance to win $31 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Florida a 27.55% chance to win, with Florida State at 76.19%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
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Florida vs Florida State Edge
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Florida vs Florida State Game Summary
