Florida vs LSU Picks: Bet Gators for Outright Upset 11/16
- The LSU vs Florida betting line features the visitors as favorites
- LSU has allowed an average of 27.3 points per game this season
- Florida has gone over the total in six of its last nine home games.
- The Gators have covered the spread in 55.6% of their games
- Get the best NCAAF Week 12 odds at BetUS Sportsbook.
When SEC rivals like LSU and Florida collide, sparks are bound to fly. Both teams are coming off rough losses that left fans frustrated and players hungry for redemption.
The Tigers head to Gainesville as 4.5-point favorites, and with both defenses looking shaky, the NCAA football spread has the over/under set at 55 points. LSU will try to regain its footing after a beatdown by Alabama while Florida hopes to get QB DJ Lagway back on the field for some home-field magic in The Swamp.
Let’s break down the top picks and predictions for this showdown, with a close look at why the Gators should cover (and maybe even win) and why my NCAAF predictions include betting on points to pile up.
LSU vs Florida Game Information
- Game: LSU Tigers (6-3, 3-2 SEC) vs Florida Gators (4-5, 2-4 SEC)
- Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 16, 3:30 p.m. ET
- LSU vs Florida Live Stream: ABC
Monitor college football news for injury updates before placing your bets on this matchup.
2 Bets to Consider for LSU vs Florida
1. Gators (+163) Underdogs with Upset Potential
On paper, LSU is the favorite, but recent performances tell a different story. The Tigers got hammered at home by Alabama, their College Football Playoff dreams all but dashed. They’ve struggled on the road, covering just once in their last six away games.
The Gators, despite their own rough week against Texas, have shown grit, especially when DJ Lagway is healthy. Lagway’s potential return could be the spark Florida needs to keep this close—or even win outright.
Per LSU vs Florida betting trends, the Tigers historically have dominated this matchup, going 6-1 straight up and 5-2 against the spread (ATS) vs the Gators since 2017.
But the Gators have covered twice this season as 4.5-point underdogs or more, and The Swamp is known for chewing up visiting favorites. With a scrappy underdog mentality, Florida can make LSU sweat, keep this one tight and maybe even pull off the outright upset in college football picks today.
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2. Over 55 Points: Expect Fireworks at The Swamp
Let’s be real: Neither defense here is exactly impenetrable. LSU’s defense is in shambles, recently getting run over by Alabama QB Jalen Milroe, and the Tigers sit near the bottom of the SEC in several categories.
Meanwhile, Florida is allowing 27 points per game and has been involved in high-scoring affairs, especially at home.
LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier loves to air it out, and while he’s racked up yards, he’s also thrown 11 interceptions this season. The Gators, if Lagway plays, should be able to move the ball against LSU’s defense, which has been gashed for big plays.
Florida has hit the over in their last three games, and with two aggressive offenses and inconsistent defenses, Saturday’s game is primed for plenty of points. Take the over in online betting.
Bet on LSU vs Florida at BetUS Sportsbook Online!
Questions Of The Day
What are the NCAAF odds for LSU vs Florida?
LSU is favored by -4.5 points with the Over/Under sitting at 55.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
