It has all come down to this with surprising Texas Christian the only thing standing between the Georgia Bulldogs becoming the first team since the start of the College Football Playoff system to win back-to-back national titles.
Touchdowns have been scored in 22 of the 28 games played by the Horned Frogs and Bulldogs with each team has scored 10 times each so that is something to keep in mind for those who bet online.
Keep an eye on TCU’s top rusher Kendre Miller as he is considered to have a 50-50 chance of being healthy enough to suit up for the game (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET) being played at SoFi Stadium.
TCU's Kendre Miller (knee) will be game-time decision for #NationalChampionship
The Horned Frogs' standout running back suffered a sprained knee in the Fiesta Bowl vs. Michigan.
— SportsDayDFW (@SportsDayDFW) January 8, 2023
Miller’s 1,399 rushing yards are the most for a TCU running back since LaDainian Tomlinson’s 2,158 yards in 2000. When Miller went down in the semifinal game, Emari Demercado ran for 150 yards so the TCU running game could still be in good shape.
The line opened with Georgia favored by 13 points and it has moved to 12 according to the college football odds.
NCAAF: Georgia vs TCU Props
- Derius Davis to score the first touchdown (+2800)
- Stetson Bennett 279½ passing yards O/U (-115)
- Quentin Johnston 85½ receiving yards O/U (-115)
- Brock Bowers 65½ receiving yards O/U -135/+105
Davis To Get Horned Frogs Going
Georgia scored first in seven of the first eight games of the season. The lone exception was a near upset against Missouri.
However, three times in the last six contests, the Bulldogs allowed their opponents to score.
The first drive by TCU could speak volumes about how this game is going to play out and don’t be surprised to see the Horned Frogs come out with a sense of urgency.
Eight times this season, the first points in TCU games came courtesy of a Horned Frogs’ touchdown.
Derius Davis had the opening touchdown on three occasions and with the Las Vegas odds setting a price of +2800, it would be worth the risk to go with Davis to open the scoring.
Pick: Derius Davis to score the first touchdown (+2800)
Bennett To Air It Out
Stetson Bennett is coming off a season-high 398 passing yards and has seven touchdown passes and just one interception over the last two games.
Bennett was more of a game manager in last year’s national title game as he was 17 of 26 for 224 yards and two TD passes. Bennet didn’t need to go out and win the game thanks to a dominating defense.
Georgia’s defense isn’t playing at the same level going into Monday’s championship game so more figures are to be on the shoulders of Bennett.
Pick: Stetson Bennett to go over 279½ passing yards (-115)
Triple Digits for Johnston?
There is a reason why TCU’s Quentin Johnson is being touted as the top receiver selected in the 2023 NFL Draft.
After missing the Iowa State game, he has returned with a vengeance with 139 yards on four catches in a loss to Kansas State in the Big 12 title game and then had six receptions for 163 yards in the upset of Michigan in the semifinal matchup. That included a 76-catch TD catch early in the fourth quarter after the Wolverines pulled within three points.
He is going to be a tough matchup for whoever matches up with Johnston thanks to the 6-foot-4 TCU receiver’s combination of size and speed. The normally stout Georgia passing defense has allowed 850 passing yards and seven TD catches in the last two games.
Pick: Quentin Johnston to go over 85½ receiving yards (-115)
Brock Ready To Rock
The big plays in the passing game haven’t been as prevalent for Georgia tight end Brock Bowers this season compared to his freshman season. Some of that can be credited to Bowers being the focus on the opposing defensive game plans while George Pickens was able to take some of the pressure off Bowers.
Still, Bowers leads Georgia with 56 catches and 790 receiving yards.
After a 154-yard effort against Florida, Bowers managed 98 receiving yards over the next four games. He seems to have rediscovered his mojo with 10 catches for 145 yards in the last two games.
Michigan tight ends had five catches for 68 yards, Ja’Tavion Sanders of Texas caught seven passes while tight ends Oklahoma’s Brayden Williams and Mason Fairchild of Kansas ripped off catches of 78 and 48 yards. None of those players are as explosive as Bowers and with the sportsbook setting 65½ yards as the number for Bowers, picking the California native to go over that total seems like a wise bet.
Pick: Brock Bowers to go over 65½ receiving yards (-135)