The Penn State Nittany Lions have a shot at another 10-win season under head coach James Franklin. The Michigan State Spartans, on the other hand, may not even qualify for a bowl game this season after a series of failures on and off the field.
Also check on these NCAAF betting lines.
PSU Gunning for 10 Wins
While the Spartans are trying to earn bowl eligibility, the Nittany Lions are enjoying a rather successful season and are on the verge of 10 wins.
Not only are they winning games straight up, but they are also one of the best Big Ten teams to bet on against the spread at 8-3. To boot, they are on a five-game ATS win streak that started against Minnesota and ran through Rutgers last week.
PSU is 7-2 ATS when favored and 6-2 ATS in conference play.
Aside from a bowl game, it’s a shame that PSU’s season will end on Saturday the way things are designed. With a potential 10 winning games, they are stuck in-between tiers in the Big Ten. They aren’t good enough to hang with Michigan or Ohio, but they are superior to teams like Rutgers, Indiana, and Maryland.
MSU is sliding deeper into the latter category of Big Ten teams, and PSU shouldn’t have too much drama on Saturday.
MSU Fighting for Bowl Eligibility
Michigan State enters this week having gone 2-2 in the last two weeks with losses to Indiana and Michigan. But they failed to cover in back-to-back weeks and are a mere 3-8 against the spread heading into Week 13. In conference games, MSU is 2-5-1 ATS and 2-4-1 as underdogs.
The Spartans took a huge step back in Mel Tucker’s third season in East Lansing. The Spartans have a strong passing attack on the field, but that’s about it. Off the field, seven players were charged this week for an incident in the tunnel of the Big House. So, this Spartans team is also down more than a half-dozen players.
The only thing Tucker and MSU can do now to save face is beat Penn State and earn a berth at a bowl game this season.
But this team is in shambles. Tucker’s assistants are even finding reasons to dislike him, as reports say he took a bonus designed to be distributed to his coaching staff all for himself.
It’s hard to imagine MSU pulling it together and rallying behind this guy after such a lousy showing in 2022. That 10-year contract for Tucker feels like a pretty bad idea right about now.
Michigan State vs Penn State Game Injuries
Michigan State vs Penn State Head-to-Head
The Spartans and Nittany Lions play annually as members of the Big Ten. MSU won the most recent contest 30-27 as 3.5-point underdogs and has led the current series 3-2 since 2017. The Over/Under is 3-2 in that span.
Michigan State vs Penn State Game Information
- Game: Michigan State vs Penn State
- Location: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 26, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Michigan State vs Penn State Live Stream: ESPN
Michigan State vs Penn State Betting Lines
Michigan State vs Penn State Picks & Prediction
Penn State will roll over Michigan State on Saturday and deny the Spartans a shot at a bowl game. The stats back this up, but so does common sense. MSU is not only a team in trouble but a program that needs a lot of work. Despite his massive contract, Coach Tucker may not be the man for the job. Seven arrests and a stolen bonus are likely just the tips of the iceberg.
The Michigan State Spartans are listed at +750 in our Vegas NCAAF lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Michigan State, you have a chance to win $750. The Penn State Nittany Lions are -1200, offering a chance to win $8 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Michigan State an 11.76% chance to win, with Penn State at 92.31%.