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Home » College Football Betting » College Football Picks » Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Rebels Standout Frosh Poised for Egg Bowl Debut

Jim Fuller
Nov 22, 2022, 1:08pm ET
in College Football Picks
Will Rogers #2 of the Mississippi State Bulldogs throws the ball during the first half of the game

Will Rogers / Jonathan Bachman - Getty Images - AFP

So, After the Turkey, It’s Eggs

The schools might be less than 100 miles apart, but when it comes to style of play, the Mississippi St. Bulldogs and Ole Miss Rebels can’t compare. It’s an intriguing Egg Bowl.

Mississippi St. attempts more passes per game than any other team in the SEC, while the Rebels of Ole Miss run the ball more frequently than any other conference squad. While neither has a chance to earn a spot in the SEC title game, there’s still plenty on the line. Ole Miss is trying to finish with a winning conference in back-to-back seasons (first time in more than three decades). Mississippi St. moves to .500 in SEC play with a win.

Ole Miss came into the season with the seventh-best odds to win the SEC title, and Mississippi St. was 12th, so both have exceeded their expectations.

Mississippi St. has covered against the college football odds in just one of four road games this season. Ole Miss is only 2-4 ATS at home.

Team finishing with more yards has lost three of the last five Egg Bowls.

Let’s check the latest college football odds, stats, injury reports and college football lines for Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss. We’ve plenty of NCAA football odds for you to consider.

Bulldogs to the Air

Mississippi St. has just three touchdown passes and two interceptions in its four losses this season. Compare that to 30 touchdowns passes (four interceptions) in the seven victories.

The passing yards per game fall precipitously (375 to 227) in the four defeats as well. It isn’t too hard to figure out the key to the Bulldogs in this game.

Quarterback Will Rogers has not beaten Ole Miss in his two previous Egg Bowl starts, but he has been productive, completing some 69.7% of his passes (776 yards, four touchdowns, no interceptions).

Mississippi St. averages 21.6 rushing attempts in conference play, 10 less than any other team. Do not expect a balanced offense in this one, especially since Ole Miss is 10th in the SEC in efficiency against the pass.

Six of the Bulldogs’ last eight games finished over the Las Vegas odds total.

Frosh to the Forefront

Well, no freshman has led the SEC in rushing since former Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel back in 2012. Ole Miss frosh Quinshon Judkins currently leads Arkansas sophomore Raheim Sanders by six yards (1,385 to 1,379) in the conference rushing race.

Judkins has exceeded 200 yards in two of the last three games, and had more than 100 yards in seven of the last eight.

The most single-season rushing yards in Ole Miss history

True Freshman, Quinshon Judkins 📈#HottyToddy pic.twitter.com/DR7XzJ90Pu

— Ole Miss Football (@OleMissFB) November 21, 2022

Interesting is Judkins averages 38 more yards per game in the losses than he does in the wins.

Zach Evans, who spent the last two seasons at Texas Christian, is also taking part in his first Egg Bowl. He needs 101 yards to give Ole Miss a pair of 1,000-yard rushers.

The college football betting lines total has gone over in five of Ole Miss’ last six games.

Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Game Injuries

Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Head-to-Head

Ole Miss has won the last two games in the series, and will be looking to beat Mississippi St. three times in a row (first time since 2002-04).

Four of the last five games have been decided by 10 or fewer points, with each of the last five matches finishing under the Las Vegas odds total.

Mississippi St. has won two of the last three Egg Bowls in Oxford.

Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Game Information

  • Game: Mississippi St. (7-4, 3-4 SEC) vs Ole Miss (8-3, 4-3)
  • Day/Time: Thursday, Nov. 24th, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
  • Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Live Stream: ESPN
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Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Betting Lines


Betting Odds Calculator

Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Picks & Prediction

There are 31 players with at least 20 tackles expected to play, 26 of them either juniors or seniors. So, the moment shouldn’t be that big. That may play a role in the game going under the total a sixth time in a row. With a total of 59, this is just the second time in the last eight meetings that the number is under 60.

Mississippi St. is second in the SEC with 20 takeaways, and that includes an SEC-best 14 interceptions. Some to consider when Jaxson Dart drops back to pass.

While each of the Bulldogs’ seven home games went over the total, all of the four road contests finished under the total.

Mississippi St. scores touchdowns on its red-zone possessions more frequently than any other SEC team (30 on 37 drives). By contrast, Ole Miss reached the end zone 23 times in 39 red zone possessions, so that could come into play in this edition of the Egg Bowl.

The Mississippi St. are listed at +110 in our Vegas college football lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Bulldogs, you have a chance to win $110. The Ole Miss Rebels are -130, offering a chance to win $77 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Mississippi St. a 47.62% chance to win, with Ole Miss at 56.52%.

BET THIS PICK: Ole Miss -2½ (-110)

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Trends

Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Edge

Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Results

Mississippi St. vs Ole Miss Game Summary

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Tags: college footballMississippi State BulldogsOle Miss Rebels
Jim Fuller

Jim Fuller

Jim Fuller is a former longtime newspaper reporter who was a Heisman Trophy voter for a decade. He also spent a number of years as a voter on the Associated Press women's basketball poll. He has covered bowl games, Final Fours, Frozen Fours, US Open tennis tournaments as well as NFL and NHL games and is transitioning into a new stage in his writing career.

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