Volunteers Look to Rebound from First Loss
Tennessee fell out of the top four in the College Football Playoffs after losing to defending national champion Georgia and now looks to get the offense rolling again.
Missouri is allowing the fewest passing yards per game in SEC play. Opponents are completing just 59% of their passes with five touchdowns in six conference games, so it could be a struggle at times against a strong Missouri secondary.
Tennessee is unlikely to reach the SEC title game following the loss to Georgia. There is still a decent chance that the Volunteers could earn a spot in the College Football Playoffs if they win the rest of their games.
According to the college football playoff odds, the Volunteers (+1800) are fourth in the best odds to win the national title.
Tennessee (+8000) trails Georgia, Louisiana State, and Alabama in the odds to win the SEC title.
Let’s check the latest college football odds, stats, injury reports, and college football lines for Missouri vs Tennessee. We’ve plenty of NCAA football odds for you to consider.
Abrams-Draine Figures to Be Busy
In last year’s meeting against Tennessee, Kris Abrams-Draine had one pass breakup. He could be busier on Saturday. Abrams-Draine is tied for second in the SEC in pass breakups. He will figure to see plenty of Tennessee’s Jalin Hyatt, the leading receiver in the conference who leads the country with 14 touchdown catches.
Missouri’s passing defense struggled a bit in last week’s loss to Kentucky, allowing a season-high 195.67 passer rating as the Wildcats had three touchdown passes and no interceptions.
Abrams-Draine is one of the main reasons why Missouri has allowed just five pass plays of 30 yards or longer in conference play and that is tied for the best mark in the SEC. Tennessee has the most passing plays of at least 30 and 40 yards this season.
Missouri’s last eight games all finished under the Las Vegas odds total.
High-Powered Volunteers Ready to Bounce Back
Tennessee is looking to rebound after the nation’s top offense was held to 289 yards in a loss to Georgia.
Coach Heupel’s weekly press conference, looking ahead to Saturday’s Senior Day clash with Missouri. https://t.co/ZkGdqG48oc
— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) November 7, 2022
The Volunteers were held under 100 rushing yards for the first time in its last seven conference games.
Heisman Trophy candidate Hendon Hooker was held without a touchdown pass for the first time since he became Tennessee’s starting quarterback. He wasn’t asked to do much in the 2021 meeting with Missouri, finishing 15 of 19 for 225 yards and three touchdown passes in the 62-24 win.
Tennessee has covered against the college football lines in four of its last five contests.
Missouri vs Tennessee Game Injuries
Missouri vs Tennessee Head-to-Head
The Volunteers have won three games in a row against Missouri and covered in each of those victories. Tennessee has outscored Missouri 97-36 and outgained the Tigers 1105-740 in those two contests.
Four of the last six games between the Tigers and Volunteers finished over the total.
Tennessee has covered five of the last seven games against Missouri. Missouri is 3-2 in its last five trips to Knoxville.
Missouri vs Tennessee Game Information
- Game: Missouri (4-5, 2-4 SEC) at Tennessee (8-1, 4-1)
- Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 12, Noon ET
- Missouri vs Tennessee Live Stream: ESPN
Missouri vs Tennessee Betting Lines
Missouri vs Tennessee Picks & Prediction
Missouri has held up well in games against Auburn, Georgia, Florida, Vanderbilt, and South Carolina, as the Tigers have allowed two touchdown passes with four interceptions. It could be a tougher task against Tennessee’s passing offense, especially with the Volunteers motivated to bounce back after a loss to Georgia.
One of the major differences between the teams is that Tennessee has more offensive touchdowns than Missouri has drives reaching the red zone. Tennessee has reached the end zone in 37 of 48 red zone trips while Missouri has only 18 TDs in 33 red zone visits.
The total has gone over in 11 of Tennessee’s last 15 games. The Vols are 3-3 in the last six games that finished under the total and 8-2 in the last 10 contests that finished over the total.
Expect Tennessee to return to its winning ways. However, Missouri’s defense could allow the Tigers to hang around. Tennessee had 62 points in last year’s meeting, but the total for this game is set at 57.
The Tennessee Volunteers are listed at -1600 in our Vegas college football lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Volunteers, you have a chance to win $6. The Missouri Tigers are +900, offering a chance to win $900 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Tennessee a 94.12% chance to win, with Missouri at 10.00%.