Our free college football picks focus on NC State Wolfpack vs Virginia Cavaliers this Friday.
The Wolfpack are 2-1 following a win over VMI, so they have confidence and the backing in betting markets.
Virginia is 0-3, so the pressure is on to win the ACC game.
Kicking Off Conference Play
The Wolfpack have yet to play an ACC game, so they’re looking to join the likes of Duke, Florida State, and Louisville at the top of the conference.
Following a 45-7 win over VMI, NC State looks to double down and start building some momentum. It has suffered one loss, which came against the powerful Notre Dame Fighting Irish, so we’re prepared to forgive that effort.
Sport betting markets have the Wolfpack at -9½, which is a fair line given the respective form of NC State and Virginia. NC State is playing much better, and although this game is on the road, it defeated UConn on the road to start the season.
Quarterback Brennan Armstrong isn’t living up to his name. He has three touchdowns and three interceptions, and all three touchdowns came on the ground. He’s a good runner, so we’ll give him credit for that.
Virginia has allowed 191 yards rushing per game, so the Wolfpack could run all over the opposition, which could make them one of our NCAAF best bets.
What is happening with Virginia? It has been an awful start to 2023 for the Cavaliers, who suffered losses to Tennessee, James Madison, and Maryland.
We’re happy to concede the loss to Tennessee, but losing to James Madison 36-35 isn’t good enough, and it’s worrying, especially if you’re considering taking the betting online odds of +285.
“This one hurts and it’s going to hurt for a while,” Virginia coach Tony Elliott said. “We’ve got a football team in there that battled really, really, really hard for the last 10 months to get to this point.”
Last week’s loss to Maryland was also a worry. The Cavaliers lost 42-14 on the road, so their confidence is in pieces.
Getting +9½ at home for Virginia would usually be included in our College Football free picks, but it would take a brave bettor to the struggling Cavaliers.
They are also struggling with injuries, and with quarterback Anthony Colandrea owning more interceptions and touchdowns, it’s not a good look.
NC State vs Virginia Head to Head
NC State has a 36-22-1 advantage over Virginia.
The most recent meeting came in 2022 when NC State won 38-21, and it won the previous meeting with a similar score of 35-21.
NC State vs Virginia Game Information
- Game: NC State (2-1) vs Virginia (0-3)
- Date/Time: Friday, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
- NC State vs Virginia Live Stream: ESPN
NC State vs Virginia Game Weather Conditions
Clear conditions are expected.
NC State vs Virginia Betting Lines
NC State vs Virginia Game Prediction
College Football Predicted Score: NC State 27, Virginia 16
Worth Betting the Moneyline?
NC State is a -360 chance with moneyline odds. That’s a short price, but it’s warranted for this team.
The Wolfpack should be too good for the home side, and College Football live betting odds could see the line move to around -500.
College Football Pick: NC State Wolfpack (-350)
Worth Betting ATS?
Winning by double digits on the road isn’t an easy task, but given the poor play from Virginia, it shouldn’t be too hard for NC State.
The Wolfpack have an offense good enough to run over the terrible Virginia defense, which has leaked points on the ground all year.
College Football Pick: NC State -9½ (-110)
Worth Betting on the Totals?
Because Virginia isn’t expected to score many points, we’re leaning under 48½ points.
Most of the points should come from the Wolfpack, who have the much better offense, but it won’t be enough to see the total go over the mark.
College Football Pick: Under 48½ (-110)