New Mexico Betting Choice on Road vs Nevada

New Mexico: Ground Game Boosts Odds

Against Hawai’i, it did not look like New Mexico had gone 14 Mountain West games without a win. The Lobos got out to a big early lead, going up 28-14 at halftime, and never looked back. That win might not change all of the Lobos college football odds for the future, but certainly against another struggling program in Nevada.

Week 8⃣ #ManningAward ⭐️ of the Week!

Dylan Hopkins, New Mexico

20-of-25, 202 yards, 3 TDs, QBR: 86.6

Hopkins,who set the school-record for completion percentage, help the Lobos snap the nation’s longest active conference losing streak (14) with a 42-21 MW victory over Hawai’i pic.twitter.com/KqBMTDmZ9W

— Manning Award (@ManningAward) October 23, 2023

On offense, everything seemed to click into place for New Mexico last week. Quarterback Dylan Hopkins had his best game, completing 20 of 25 passes while throwing for 202 yards and three touchdowns.

However, the running game is the actual engine of the offense. Jacory Croskey-Merritt, the Lobos’ leading rusher, had a solid day with 10 carries for 46 yards and two scores, but Andrew Henry also had an important game. Henry led the team in carries (13) and yards (112) with a touchdown. If both players keep it up, New Mexico could be an excellent option for college football picks.

Running the ball has already been the focal point of the Lobos’ offense this season, and they have had success. New Mexico is fourth in rushing yards per game in the Mountain West at 179.7 and will lean heavily on that against Nevada.

Nevada Ends Drought

The last time had Nevada won a game was Sept. 3, 2022. The Wolf Pack would lose the next 10 games of 2022 and the first six in 2023, before finally getting a win against San Diego State.

While this win is important, ending the losing streak will not change future college football lines. Nevada’s offense was far from impressive with 242 yards while failing to score a single touchdown. Quarterback Brendon Lewis completed 9 of 22 passes for 98 yards, but at least he didn’t make a mistake. He has a touchdown-interception ratio of 2/6 on the season. He is also the team’s season-leading rusher and had 13 carries for 40 yards against San Diego State.

Even though New Mexico’s defense is far from reliable, allowing 32.6 points and 421.4, it should have the advantage over Nevada. The Wolf Pack’s offense is at the bottom of the Mountain West in points (15.7) and yards (311.1) per game.

Speaking of being the worst in the Mountain West, Nevada gives up the most yards in the conference at 468.3 – 191.6 coming on the ground. It will be hard for the Wolf Pack to slow down New Mexico’s offense, which loves to run the ball, making Nevada a hard team to back for college football lines.

Last week, it was surprising the Wolf Pack held San Diego State to 204 yards, but that team is also near the bottom in offense within the Mountain West.

New Mexico vs Nevada Best Bet

After both of these teams won last week, it oddly has leaned Vegas College Football betting lines toward Nevada, arguably the worst team in the Mountain West. That is why taking New Mexico could be one of the college football picks of this week. The Lobos should have success running the ball and at least enough defense to slow down a terrible Wolf Pack offense.

College Football Best Bet: New Mexico +1 -110

New Mexico vs Nevada Betting Lines

New Mexico vs Nevada Game Information

• Game: New Mexico vs Nevada
• Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
• Day/Time: Saturday, Oct. 28, 10:30 p.m. ET
• New Mexico vs Nevada Live Stream: ESPN

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