Ohio State vs Michigan State Odds: Over Best Bet, 9/28
- Ohio State has won eight games in a row against Michigan State and nine in a row on the road.
- The Buckeyes have struggled to cover recently as 20-point road favorites.
- Check the latest Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds at the BetUS sportsbook.
The good news is that Michigan State has a chance to go 2-0 in the Big Ten for the first time since 2021. The bad news is that third-ranked Ohio State is coming to East Lansing for a Saturday night affair. This is the ninth time in the last 10 meetings that the sports betting odds have the Buckeyes as a massive double-digit favorite against Michigan State.
Ohio State has won eight games in a row against Michigan State and covered in each of the last seven meetings. Michigan State’s last win over Ohio State came in 2015 while the last time the Spartans could celebrate a victory at home versus the Buckeyes was in 1999. Seven of the last nine games between Ohio State and Michigan State finished under the total.
The college football betting line has Ohio State listed as a 24-point favorite. The Buckeyes won each of the last seven games by at least 20 points. Perhaps some adventurous souls will take a chance on Michigan State at +1200 to win the game outright.
In the college football futures odds, Ohio State has the shortest odds of +350 in the odds of winning the national championship. Ohio State is favored at +110 in odds of winning the Big Ten title. Michigan State (+30000) is tied for the longest Big Ten championship odds.
Ohio State vs Michigan State Game Information
- Game: Ohio State (3-0) at Michigan State (3-1, 1-0 Big Ten)
- Date/Time: Saturday, Sept. 28, 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
- Ohio State vs Michigan State Live Stream: Peacock
Ohio State vs Michigan State Odds and Spreads
Ohio State vs Michigan State: 3 Betting Predictions
1. Can Spartans Slow Down OSU Running Game?
Only Indiana and Northwestern allowed more rushing yards per game among Big Ten teams a season ago than Michigan State. The Spartans have made strides in that area, going from allowing 4.1 yards per carry to 2.6 in the last year. Will that factor into the college football picks for this matchup?
The Spartans did allow a season-high 152 rushing yards in a loss to Boston College last week. With all due respect to the Eagles, they didn’t have the luxury of handing the ball off to Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson.
Quinshon Judkins acceleration on this 86-yard TD run needs to be studied 😮💨
(via @cfbonfox)pic.twitter.com/wo9S59fvyr
— The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) September 21, 2024
Judkins is averaging 9.3 yards per carry with Henderson at 8.6 yards per rushing attempt for the Buckeyes. The last time Ohio State played at Spartan Stadium, it ran through the overmatched Michigan State defense for 237 rushing yards. If Michigan State doesn’t put up some resistance, this game could head in a similar direction to their recent matchups.
2. Ball Security a Concern for MSU
Michigan State walked into a difficult environment last week. The game at Boston College was the annual Red Bandanna Game held in honor of Welles Crowther, a Boston College graduate who is credited with saving the lives of more than 10 people in the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center before he perished.
The emotion that Boston College played with was a key factor in the 23-19 win over the visiting Spartans.
Michigan State’s four turnovers contributed to the first loss for the season for the Spartans. While Boston College only scored seven points off the four turnovers, repeating that feat against one of the best offenses in the country could be a recipe for a blowout loss at home.
Michigan State lost 23-19 to Boston College.
Aidan Chiles threw an interception in the end zone with 36 seconds left. Four turnovers ultimately hurt the Spartans too much. pic.twitter.com/rVKJvB8NdJ
— Brad Galli (@BradGalli) September 22, 2024
Michigan State’s 10 giveaways are the most in the Big Ten – only Auburn has turned the ball over more frequently among Power-4 conference teams. Keep an eye on the NCAA football news as receivers Antonio Gates and Jaron Glover are both questionable for Michigan State.
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3. Take the Over in Ohio State vs Michigan State Matchup
It has been eight years since the Spartans covered the college football spread as a home underdog of at least 20 points. The Spartans have been outscored 150-32 the last three times the visiting team was favored by at least 20 points. Five of the last six times that Michigan State was a double-digit underdog at home, the game landed over the total.
Before making college football predictions, keep in mind that Ohio State has failed to cover in its last three games as a 20-point favorite on the road. The Buckeyes are 22-1 outright in their previous 23 games when favored on the road. With the opening moneyline odds at -2500, there is little reward for picking the Buckeyes to win the game outright.
Ohio State has scored 49 and 52 points in its last two trips to East Lansing. Don’t be surprised to see the Buckeyes approach that number on Saturday. Taking the game to go over the 48-point total could be the best way to proceed.
Bet on Michigan State +24 and Michigan State vs Ohio State Over 48
Ohio State vs Michigan State Prediction
Ohio State 41, Michigan State 24
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Questions of the Day
Which team had a better record against the spread since the start of the 2023 season, Ohio State or Michigan State?
Ohio State is 8-7-1 against the college football spread since the beginning of last season compared to a 6-8-2 mark for Michigan State.
When was the last time Michigan State won at home against Ohio State?
Michigan State has lost five home games in a row to Ohio State since a 34-24 win as a 5.5-point underdog in 2013.
