Penn State vs Boise State Picks: Bet Jeanty, Broncos ATS December 31
- Get the best Penn State vs Boise State betting lines at BetUS.
- Penn State is favored to extend its record by winning the Fiesta Bowl for an eighth time.
- Read on for my Penn State vs Boise State college football picks.
Penn State’s first College Football Playoff game was one to remember with a convincing win over SMU. Now comes a matchup with Mountain West champion Boise State at the Fiesta Bowl. The Nittany Lions are double-digit favorites according to the sports betting odds.
Boise State has never played Penn State. However, the Broncos did throw a scare into Big Ten champion Oregon earlier this season. Boise State is 0-3 outright when facing a Big Ten team but all three of those games were one-score games.
The BetUS Sportsbook has Penn State favored by 11 points with -425 odds to advance to the CFP semifinals. Boise State is priced at +333 to beat a team from a power conference in a bowl game for the first time since 2017.
Playoff Game One.
Playoff Game 𝐖𝐎𝐍. #WeAre x #CFBPlayoff pic.twitter.com/7D3sg4NFgN— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) December 21, 2024
Let’s take a look at my top three college football picks today for this game.
Fiesta Bowl Game Information
- Game: Penn State (12-2) vs Boise State (12-1)
- Date/Time: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
- Penn State vs Boise State Live Stream: FuboTV
Check the latest college football news before betting on this game.
Penn State vs Boise State 3 Best Bets
1. Boise State +11 (-115)
It won’t be a surprise to see Penn State wrap up 2024 by winning the Fiesta Bowl and setting up a matchup with either Georgia or Notre Dame in the semifinals of the College Football Playoff. However, going with the Nittany Lions to win as a double-digit favorite is a risky pick.
Per NCAAF betting trends, keep in mind that Penn State is 8-0 outright this season as a double-digit favorite but just 4-4 against the spread. Penn State is 7-0 in the Fiesta Bowl while Boise State is 3-0.
Both teams will be without reserve quarterbacks with the loss of Penn State’s Beau Pribula likely having a larger impact than the absence of Malachi Nelson for Boise State, so keep that in mind when making Fiesta Bowl picks.
Go with Boise State to cover as 11-point underdogs.
Bet This Pick: Boise State +11 (-115)
2. Penn State to Score First (-193)
Penn State was fourth in the Big Ten in rushing defense and only Nebraska and Iowa allowed fewer rushing touchdowns among Big Ten teams than the Nittany Lions.
While there are some talented running backs in the Big Ten, are the Nittany Lions ready to deal with Heisman Trophy finalist Ashton Jeanty?
James Franklin talks Boise State Heisman Trophy finalist Ashton Jeanty as Penn State prepares for Fiesta Bowlhttps://t.co/NrR30FalWO pic.twitter.com/y8Kt5fqiw6
— Lions247 (@Lions247) December 26, 2024
When looking at the Penn State vs Boise State stats, Jeanty leads all Football Bowl Subdivision players with runs of at least 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50 yards. Penn State counters with juniors Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen, who both can top 1,000 yards with strong showings on Dec. 31.
Boise State quarterback Maddux Madsen got a little bit of work against eventual CFP finalist Washington last season, but he struggled against Oregon (17 of 40 for 148 yards). He will need to have a better showing in the Fiesta Bowl.
Penn State will be motivated to score early and try to force the Broncos to throw the ball. Bet online for Penn State at -193 to be the first team to score.
Bet This Pick: Penn State to score first (-193)
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3. Penn State-Boise State Under 53 (-110)
Both teams prefer to establish the run with Boise State fifth nationally in rushing offense and Penn State ranking 19th. Both teams are also in the top 25 in rushing defense.
The Nittany Lions trail only Ohio State when it comes to red-zone defense. Penn State has allowed touchdowns on just 41% of drives when the opposing team reaches the red zone.
While there has been some early money on the Fiesta Bowl to go over 53 points, consider going the other direction when looking at Penn State vs Boise State best bets.
Bet This Pick: Penn State-Boise State Under 53 (-110)
Penn State vs Boise State Prediction
Penn State 27, Boise State 20
Questions of the Day
Which team has a better record against the spread this season, Penn State or Boise State?
Boise State is 7-6 and Penn State is 7-7 against the college football spread this season.
How has Boise State fared as the underdog in bowl games?
Boise State hasn’t won a bowl game as an underdog since 2017. The Broncos are 5-6 outright and 7-4 against the spread in their last 11 games as the underdog in bowl games.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
