Penn State vs Minnesota Picks 11/23: Back Nittany Lions ATS in Week 13

Boasting a No. 4 ranking, the visiting Penn State Nittany Lions look to keep their momentum going against the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Huntington Bank Stadium on Saturday.

NCAAF odds have Penn State at -11, which is a fair line considering its trajectory, and Minnesota will do well to keep it close despite playing with the help of home-field advantage.

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Penn State vs Minnesota Game Information

• Game: Penn State Nittany Lions (9-1, 6-1 Big Ten) at Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-4, 4-3)
• Date/Time: Saturday, Nov. 23, 3:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
• Penn State vs Minnesota Live Stream: CBS

Before placing any bets on the game, monitor all the college football news for injury updates.

2 Keys to Bet on Penn State vs Minnesota

1. Value Line for Nittany Lions

We priced the Nittany Lions at -13½, so getting a -11 line with college football spread is too good to pass up for the better team.

The Nittany lost 20-13 to Ohio State, which is one of the best teams in the country, and that was their only loss in 2024. They bounced back with wins over Washington 35-6 and Purdue 40-19, which adds weight to our claims that they will cover the spread.

“I thought that was the best game we played in terms of four quarters, offense, defense and special teams,” coach James Franklin said. “We were able to play 68 players in the game, which is going to be good for experience standpoint. Defensively, we played a dominant third quarter, 10 plays for 35 yards.”

We have been impressed with Drew Allar, who owns 16 touchdowns and only five interceptions. We think he has the edge over opposing QB Max Brosmer, who is also a solid passer.

The people are talking. 🗣️#TylerWarren x @HeismanTrophy pic.twitter.com/MHv47YXafU

— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) November 19, 2024

Defense has always been a strength for Penn State, and after allowing only 16 points in its last two games, we struggle to see how Minnesota will score enough points to cover the spread in our expert betting picks. If Minnesota scores 17+ points, we would be surprised.

Bet Penn State -11 (-110)

2. Minnesota Solid Pick at Home

We’re not overlooking Minnesota as a chance to cover the +11 spread, and its recent form has been good enough to warrant attention.

The Golden Gophers come off a 26-19 loss to Rutgers, which came on the road. However, per Penn State vs Minnesota betting trends, the Golden Gophers are 4-2 at home, including impressive wins over the likes of USC, UCLA, Maryland and Illinois. Something close to those performance could see them cover the spread.

However, they are a level below Penn State, which is a legitimate top-four team. Minnesota has struggled against worse teams than Penn State in 2024, so taking a +11 line is difficult.

We think this game is more important for the Nittany Lions. A loss could send them outside a playoff position, so beating Minnesota by a double-digit margin would send a signal to the rest of the competition.

Our college football picks have Penn State comfortably covering the -11 spread, and we think it could win by close to 20 points.

The Nittany Lions are the better team, and although playing on the road adds to the difficulty of beating Minnesota, this could be their best statement win of the year.

We’re also backing over 45 points. Penn State could turn on the offensive jets against Minnesota, and the Golden Gophers are good enough to put points on the board, so a high-scoring game is expected. Add the over to your NCAA football best bets.

Bet on Penn State Over 45 (-110) 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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