After analyzing the NCAA football betting lines on Saturday’s slate of games, we locked onto this Mountain West title tilt between Boise State and UNLV.
Our odds are showing the visitors as slight favorites and the Broncos look like a good value bet. Let’s dissect this game between the Boise State Broncos and the UNLV Rebels and keep cashing our college football picks!
Broncos Kicking at Right Time
Boise State enters this Mountain West Championship game against UNLV on a three-game winning streak, with the most recent victory against a powerful Air Force team. Last week, the Broncos’ defense held the No. 2 rushing team in the nation in check, holding the Falcons to 206 yards, nearly 70 yards below their season average.
Sophomore running back Ashton Jeanty continued to be the straw that stirs the drink on the Boise State offense. The team’s 5’9” leading rusher scampered for 107 yards and one touchdown while catching five passes for 118 receiving yards and a trip to the end zone.
When the smoke cleared, Boise State claimed a 27-19 victory over Air Force, covering the NCAA football odds as 7-point home favorites and punching their ticket to a date with UNLV in the conference championship.
Rebels Drop Season Finale
UNLV watched their three-game winning streak come to an abrupt halt last week when they bowed, 37-31, to San Jose State. Trailing 20-10 at the half and 30-17 after the third quarter, the Rebels managed to score a pair of touchdowns in the final frame, but it was not enough to overtake the Spartans.
A three-way tie between UNLV, Boise State, and San Jose State for the MWC regular-season crown required a tiebreaker, and the computer rankings determined that the Spartans were the odd team out despite their six-point win over the Rebels.
Boise State vs UNLV Game Information
- Game: Boise State (7-5, 6-2 MWC) vs UNLV (9-3, 6-2)
- Date/Time: Saturday, Dec. 2, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- Boise State vs UNLV Live Stream: ESPN
Boise State vs UNLV Best Bet
This a matchup between two teams that rely on their ground-and-pound attacks to get the job done. However, the Broncos rank 11th in that category, averaging over 207 rushing yards per game, while the Rebels rank 26th, averaging nearly 188 yards per contest.
Although the rushing attacks are fairly even, with a slight edge to Boise State, the Broncos’ run-stop unit is much more equipped to shut down the UNLV ground attack. Boise State allows 127 rushing yards per contest (33rd), while UNLV surrenders nearly 152 yards on average, ranking 67th in that category.
Rebels’ freshman quarterback Jayden Maiava is more equipped to make things happen through the air than the Broncos’ 6’6” sophomore, Taylen Green, but the latter has much more mobility and is a valuable addition to the Boise State ground game.
Lastly, the Broncos’ lead tailback, Ashton Jeanty, is a force of nature who can run and catch with equal aplomb. After reviewing the NCAA football spreads in this game, we see the number is small enough to make this an easy decision despite the Broncos playing in hostile territory.
Last one on The Blue 🔵
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) November 27, 2023
Lay the deuce and cash a ticket with Boise State!
Boise State vs UNLV Betting Lines
Questions Of The Day
Which team in the Boise State vs UNLV game will have more rushing yards?
Boise State has one of the best rushing offenses in the nation led by Ashton Jeanty, which means the Broncos will more than likely have more rushing yards than the Rebels.
Which team in the Mountain West Championship game will cover the point spread?
The Boise State Broncos are 2-point betting favorites and most likely to win the Mountain West Championship due to their running game.