The ACC slate in Week 4 brings arguably the most highly touted matchup of the season when the Florida State Seminoles head on the road to face the Clemson Tigers. Although the matchup lost a bit of its drama after Clemson’s early-season stumble against the Duke Blue Devils, it still provides some great targets from a betting perspective.
Specifically, when evaluating the matchup, the prop bets on the board are headlined by a few that jump off the page immediately. In turn, while we’ll break out the top prop picks for the weekend in ACC college football, let’s plant the focus on the FSU vs Clemson matchup.
NC State QB Brennan Armstrong Passing Yards
The North Carolina State Wolfpack are on the road for Friday Night Football in a matchup with the struggling Virginia Cavaliers. While UVA has failed to win a game thus far, the Cavaliers have struggled mightily against the opposing passing attack as well. We’ve seen NC State quarterback Brennan Armstrong turn a corner over the past two weeks, throwing for 260+ yards in each game.
While there are a few ways to target this game and a few worthwhile ACC football predictions to make, I think we see Virginia manage to hang around with the “primetime home-field advantage” aspect in play. NC State will get it done late, but Armstrong should be in a position to throw often against an opponent that allows 260.7 passing yards per game.
- College football Pick: Brennan Armstrong over 260 passing yards (+100)
FSU QB Jordan Travis Rushing Yards
Although Clemson has been solid against the run this year, Jordan Travis’ playmaking ability both with his arm and his legs should prove to be a major game-changer here for the Seminoles. This game is massive for them and their chances to stay among the College Football Playoff favorites.
Playing on the road against Clemson is never an easy task, but I envision the Seminoles quarterback using his legs to open things up through the air. We get his week 4 college football odds at only 32 or more rushing yards, and he’s had 38 on the ground in two games and 20 in the other. Arguably the most important aspect here is that he’s totaled 17 rushing attempts through three games. I think we could potentially see Travis run often to make life easier and possibly post his highest rushing total of the season.
- College football Pick: Jordan Travis Over 32 rushing yards (-113)
🚨 Fun Stat of the Day!
Jordan Travis has more passing TDs against the SEC (in one game) than UF’s Graham Mertz has all season (3 games). 🍢 pic.twitter.com/AnoUpLxhAl
— TJ Pittinger (@TJ_Pittinger) September 21, 2023
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Clemson WR Antonio Williams Receiving Yards
If Clemson can prove they’ve turned the corner and pull off the upset over Florida State this week, it’d be huge after the Week 1 loss to Duke. But in order to save their odds to win the ACC, I think the Tigers will need to target the area where FSU has struggled, which is defending the pass. Although FSU probably isn’t as bad as its 268.3 passing yards per game allowed shows, tack on home-field advantage for the Tigers with a potentially high-scoring game, and that makes this a great spot.
I opted to roll with Clemson wide receiver Antonio Williams, who comes in with a modest line of needing 48 or more receiving yards to hit the mark. Through three games, Williams has totaled 145 yards and two scores, but the one big asterisk is that in the team’s last game, he only had 25 yards. But, that game was a blowout 48-14 and multiple offensive players for the Tigers received slightly less work overall. Williams was also sidelined (and later returned) after suffering a minor injury.
In the two other games, Williams has seven catches for 56 yards and five catches for 64 yards with two scores. The volume of targets is there for him, and we’ve seen him clear 50 in both spots. Don’t be surprised if the matchup with FSU winds up being a season high in yards for the sophomore.
- College football Pick: Antonio Williams 48 or more receiving yards (-114)
FSU WR Johnny Wilson Receiving Yards
Why not stick to the theme here? The ACC’s biggest game of the week also has some of the most intriguing targets. Admittedly, I’m envisioning this as a high-scoring game, and if it is, the FSU-Clemson prop bets shouldn’t have much of an issue clearing.
It’s worth noting that while on paper, Clemson has been strong against the pass, but the Tigers haven’t faced a passing attack like FSU’s – or anything close to it. Clemson also had a brutal first half against Duke attempting to defend the pass, but the Blue Devils weren’t as aggressive throwing the ball in the second half of that game — while Clemson’s pass defense improved as well.
All that said, I think there’ll be points in this game, and FSU wide receiver Johnny Wilson has gone for 104 yards and 105 yards in two games, catching 11 passes over that stretch. Taking the over on 71 receiving yards comes with some risk, but I like the spot for Wilson in a potential shootout.
- College football Pick: Johnny Wilson 71 or more receiving yards (-104)