Predictions for NCAA Football Favor Arkansas to Defeat Mississippi State

The Bulldogs come off a win, but the level of opposition improves significantly.

Confidence Returns for Bulldogs

After suffering three consecutive losses, the Bulldogs bounced back with a 41-28 win over Western Michigan.

The sportsbook is giving them some respect at +6 against Arkansas. Bettors could use the Alabama games as the best guide.

The Bulldogs played the Crimson Tide two weeks ago and lost 40-17 at home, whereas Arkansas played last week and lost by three points on the road.

Despite having a much different time against Alabama, College Football betting markets aren’t letting the Bulldogs out of their sights.

Quarterback Will Rogers had three touchdowns last week, and that should give them confidence. However, our worry is that it came against a poor Broncos outfit, which had yet to win on the road.

Better Than They Look

At 2-5 and 0-4 in the SEC, it would be logical to assume the Razorbacks are a bad team. However, we think they’re much better than that.

College football picks against the spread shouldn’t write off the -6 favorites, who have lost four of their last five games by seven or fewer points.

They lost the last two games on the road against Ole Miss and Alabama by a combined margin of 10. That’s a good form guide, especially for a team with two wins on their record.

Being on a losing streak doesn’t do much for confidence levels, but they pushed a nationally-ranked team close, and they should be proud.

“We knew it would be a tough task for us,” Arkansas coach Sam Pittman told the media. “But we wanted to be in it in the fourth quarter with an opportunity to win it, and that’s what we were.”

We thought Arkansas would have been at least a touchdown favorite, so bettors can find value with the current line.

We expect late betting online movement to come for the home side.

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Head-to-Head

Arkansas holds an 18-14-1 advantage over Mississippi State. However, the Bulldogs won 40-17 at home in 2022. Prior to that, Arkansas won consecutive games 31-28 and 21-14.

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Game Information

• Game: Mississippi State (3-3, 0-3 SEC) vs Razorbacks (2-5, 0-4)
• Date/Time: Saturday, October 21, Noon ET
• Location: Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Ark.
• Mississippi State vs Arkansas Live Stream: NFL Game Pass

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Game Weather Conditions

Clear and pleasant conditions are expected in Arkansas on game day.

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Game Prediction

Predicted Score: Arkansas 28, Mississippi State 20

Worth Betting the Moneyline?

We are including Arkansas at -240 in our college football parlays. We expect them to be too strong for the visitors, and bettors get an excellent line.

Playing at home is a bonus, and it gives them a few points advantage. We also think they’re the better team despite having an inferior record.

College Football Pick: Arkansas -240

Worth Betting ATS?

Our advice is to jump on the Razorbacks at -6. The line could move to around -7 on game day, so we’re locking it in.

Following last week’s stellar showing against a much stronger team, they should handle the Bulldogs with ease.

College Football Pick: Arkansas -6

Worth Betting on the Totals?

Our sportsbook has the line at 48½ points, and we predict 48 points.

It’s too close to call, so we’re opting to stick with backing Arkansas moneyline and with the points spread.

Questions of the Day