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SMU Best Bet to Keep East Carolina (and Total) Down

The SMU Mustangs (3-2) head to Greenville, N.C., on Thursday night when they face off against the reeling 1-4 East Carolina Pirates (1-4). So what should football fans be looking for, especially when trying to strike gold with a strong NCAAF picks and parlays plan for Thursday?

After routing Charlotte last week and with SMU’s only losses coming against Oklahoma and TCU, it’s quite apparent why college football odds experts are giving the Mustangs an overwhelming edge over the Pirates. The Mustangs have the better offense, the better defense, the better everything.

SMU Best Bet to Keep East Carolina (and Total) Down
SMU Best Bet to Keep East Carolina (and Total) Down

East Carolina, on the other hand, will be looking to find some sort of redemption, especially after its 24-17 loss against the Rice Owls last week.

As we get ready for another exciting week of college football action, let’s break down this Thursday night SMU vs East Carolina matchup.

Let’s take a closer look at some NCAA football odds worth considering.

Can East Carolina Stop SMU?

Do you want the one-word answer? No. Do you want a more extended answer? No, ECU doesn’t have it in them to stop SMU in this NCAAF matchup on Thursday. ECU’s offense is as exciting as a trip to the dentist followed by a trip to the DMV. When you look at the Pirates

playing with quarterback Alex Flinn manning the offense, it’s not hard to understand why, though.


Averaging 5.5 yards per attempt and a 49.1% pass completion, Flinn has only one TD to five interceptions on the season. We’re talking about five games already, and ECU’s leader on offense has only passed for one touchdown. Yes, one touchdown to five interceptions.

It’s honestly baffling that Flinn is still being considered the best choice over backup Mason Garcia who has the same number of TDs this season against only two interceptions.

For SMU, again, the clear online betting favorite in this game to win, the plan is simple. The Mustangs just need for QB Preston Stone to hit his marks and manage the game clock while SMU’s defense takes care of the rest. It’s that simple.

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SMU Stout Defense + ECU Sad Offense = Bet the Under

As mentioned earlier, ECU plays some of the least exciting football around, and it’s mainly because of its offense. If you look at the offensive numbers, they read as sad and meager, and that’s threading lightly.

Ranking 130th in yards per play at 4.4 and averaging 21.0 points per game, we’re talking about a team that can’t really offer college football lines fans any real value. SMU, meanwhile, is ranked much higher offensive, sitting at 55th in yards per play for example.

To put it simply, as long as Flinn continues to be ECU’s best option at QB, this offense will struggle, even after last week’s 44-0 win against Gardner-Webb. With SMU’s defense featuring one of the stronger lines in the country and ranked in the high 20s in total defense and defense against the pass, I’m going with under the total as the best bet.

Without doing too much offensively but holding down the fort on defense, SMU will keep the score low, as the Mustangs have in seven of their last 10 games.

College Football Pick: Total under 49½ (-110)

 

SMU vs East Carolina Game Information

  • Game: SMU Mustangs (3-2) vs. East Carolina Pirates (1-4)
  • Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, North Carolina
  • Day/Time: Thursday, Oct 12, 7:30 p.m. ET
  • SMU vs East Carolina Live Stream: ESPN

 

 

What are the best NCAAF picks for parlays today?

For this SMU vs ECU game, taking SMU to win the game as well as its total points over 30.5 and ECU’s total points under 19.5 could be a very profitable three-leg NCAAF parlay.

What’s the best betting tip for creating an NCAAF parlay?

Always keep an eye on previous game performance stats from both teams and their top players as well as game previews and betting predictions.

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