SMU vs Virginia Picks: Mustangs ATS Best Bet 11/23/24
- The road team is a sizable favorite in the SMU vs Virginia betting lines.
- Virginia has been inconsistent, making it hard to back it home.
- Check out all the Week 13 NCAAF odds at the BetUS sportsbook.
The end of Virginia’s schedule is difficult, with four of its last six games against ranked opponents. That continues as Virginia (5-5, 3-3 ACC) hosts No.13 SMU (9-1, 6-0), the only team unbeaten in conference play. This is SMU’s first season in the conference and It is looking to make college football news by advancing to the ACC Championship Game and securing a playoff spot.
In the Mustangs’ last game, they continued their great play through the ACC, beating Boston College 38-28. It was not a dominating game for SMU, but it still got a crucial win. However, it did fail to cover a 19-point spread.
After upsetting Pittsburgh, the Cavaliers struggled last week in a 35-14 loss against Notre Dame. They were down 35-0 at one point before making a switch at quarterback. That, plus Virginia’s five turnovers last week, is something to remember when betting online.
SMU vs Virginia Game Information
- Game: SMU (9-1, 6-0 ACC) vs. Virginia (5-5, 3-3)
- Location: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 23, Noon ET
- SMU vs Virginia Live Stream: Fubo.TV
2 Picks for SMU vs Virginia on Nov 23
1. Recent Struggles Make it Hard to Pick Virginia: SMU -9
Even though the records may not show this to be an interesting matchup, it is still a challenging pick for college football predictions. Virginia has struggled recently and has been unpredictable during this tough stretch.
Virginia started this season 4-1, and even in its first ACC loss to Louisville, it covered a seven-point spread. The Cavaliers followed that up with another cover against a ranked opponent, losing 48-21 to then-No. 10 Clemson while covering a 20½ point spread.
Virginia then lost to North Carolina 41-14 at home while favored by 3½ points. The Cavaliers followed that up with an upset of then-No. 18 Pittsburgh as 7½-point underdogs. Once again, there was some hope, but they were quickly down 35-0 to Notre Dame, committing five turnovers and benching their starting quarterback.
Even though Virginia has had some bright moments over the last four games, there has been more bad than good. This makes it extremely difficult to back the Cavaliers, especially when facing a consistent team.
Per SMU vs Virginia betting trends, not only have the Mustangs won nine games this season but they have also covered six times.
2. Bet This Game Under 57.5
One reason SMU is favored in this game and should cover the NCAAF spread is its offense. While the Mustangs have not been putting up massive stats, they have done more than enough. They are ranked fifth in yards per game at 445.3, but that has led to them scoring 39.9 points per game, the second-highest in the ACC.
What vision! 👀
Brashard Smith weaves his way through the line of scrimmage for 6!
📺 @SMUFB x ESPNpic.twitter.com/Pf25JUZSC1
— ACC Football (@ACCFootball) November 16, 2024
The anchor of the SMU offense has been its running game, which has averaged 190.9 yards, the second most in the ACC. That has been led mainly by running back Brashard Smith, who has rushed for 1,026 yards this season with 12 touchdowns. He has -334 odds in NCAA football player props to score a touchdown this week.
The passing attack has also not been bad. Kevin Jennings completed 24 of 35 passes for 298 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception last week. Jennings has been a good enough passer to open running holes for Smith.
However, that does not mean this game will hit the over. When Virginia is playing well, the defense holds its ground. In the win over Pittsburgh, it allowed just 292 yards and 19 points. The Cavaliers have still hit the under in three straight games, which is probably helped out by a struggling offense.
Starting quarterback Anthony Colandrea threw for only 69 yards and three interceptions against Notre Dame, which led to Tony Muskett taking over. Muskett looked better with 103 yards and no interceptions while rushing for two scores.
SMU’s defense is really good, however, allowing the third-fewest points per game (22.4) in the ACC, which will help the under hit in college football betting picks.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
Questions Of The Day
Is there a prop bet to pay attention to for this game?
SMU running back Brashard Smith has been great and he should be in for another big game again.
Does Virginia have a home-field advantage?
Virginia is the home team and that should give it a boost, but it is only 2-3 at home.
