Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Prediction: Aggies ATS Pick for Saturday 10/19

As NCAAF lines suggest, the Aggies are trending in the right direction as -16½ favorites. The same can’t be said about the Bulldogs, who have yet to win a game in SEC play, and that’s unlikely to change on Saturday.

Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Game Information

• Game: Texas A&M Aggies (5-1, 3-0 SEC) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-5, 0-3)
• Date/Time: Saturday, Oct. 19, 4:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
• Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Live Stream: SEC Network

Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Odds and Spread

Top 2 Keys to Bet on Texas A&M vs Mississippi State

1. Aggies Putting Up Points

The best thing about backing the Aggies is knowing they can put up big totals, and they could simply outscore the Bulldogs with ease.

Our expert college football betting predictions have the Aggies scoring around 40 points against the Bulldogs, considering they put up 41 on Missouri and 52 points against McNeese earlier this year. Putting up 41 points on a tough Missouri defense showcased their potent offense, and the Bulldogs have been leaking points.

Mississippi State has allowed totals of 41, 45, 35 and 41 points from its last four games, so the Aggies could have a field day at Davis Wade Stadium, which is why we’re favoring them at -16½.

Coming off a bye week following the dismantling of Missouri, the Aggies are rested and ready to improve on their ranking, which has steadily improved following their opening loss to Notre Dame.

“We are in a growth mindset … we are trying to grow every single day,” coach Mike Elko said. “We didn’t flinch when we didn’t get the job done against Notre Dame.”

We love the mindset, and we love the current college football lines for the visitors.

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2. Bulldogs Not Relishing Underdog Tag

Some teams love being the underdog so they can produce an upset against the odds, but the Mississippi State Bulldogs haven’t been one of those teams. Following losses to Georgia, Texas and Florida, they need to muscle up and try to cause a stir in the SEC.

We’re not overlooking that facing Texas and Georgia in consecutive weeks is brutal, but they were soundly beaten by Texas 35-13 before showing some grit in losing to Georgia 41-31. However, repeating that effort could prove difficult.

Johnnie Daniels finds a crease and the endzone for a Bulldog Touchdown!

📺: https://t.co/Wr8ilLuFQw#SHOWTIME | #HailState pic.twitter.com/tIJNLDXjTp

— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) October 12, 2024

As NCAAF betting odds suggest, there will be plenty of points in this game, and many of them could be given up by the Bulldogs defense, which hasn’t been able to stem the flow. Allowing 45 points against Florida was bad, but allowing 41 points in a 41-17 loss to Toledo is a new low for Mississippi State.

Without resistance of some kind, the Texas A&M Aggies will roll through this defense, and the Bulldogs offense isn’t good enough to go toe-to-toe. It’s why they’re +16½ underdogs at home, and we can’t see their season turning around.

How to Bet on Texas A&M vs Mississippi State

One of our most confident NCAAF picks this week is Texas A&M to cover the -16½ spread.

The Aggies are the much better team, especially on offense, and we can’t see the Bulldogs stopping them on many drives. It should result in a one-sided game, unless the Bulldogs muster energy from somewhere.

Bet on Texas A&M to Win the Game -16½ (-110)

The majority of the scoring will come from Texas A&M, and we’re happy to include over 55½ points in our picks.

Mississippi State’s offense is good enough to score a couple of touchdowns, and our final score prediction sees Texas A&M winning 40-17, which is enough to cover the spread and see the over cash in online betting.

Bet on Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Over 55½ (-110)

Questions of the Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.