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Three Ways to Bet Liberty vs Western Kentucky on Tuesday Night

Liberty’s Perfect Mark on the Line

· Oct 23 - 4 minutes read

Liberty will be the first of the nine remaining undefeated teams at the Football Bowl Subdivision level to take the field in Week 9. When making NCAA football picks today, bear in mind that the visiting Flames are favored to hand the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers their first home loss of 2023.

The teams met in 2020, with Liberty winning 30-24 as 14-point underdogs. This will be the first matchup between the teams as Conference USA foes.

Three Ways to Bet Liberty vs Western Kentucky on Tuesday Night

College football predictions list Liberty as a 4-point favorite for this game.

Liberty and Western Kentucky rank first and second in Conference USA in scoring offense, so it is not a surprise that this is one of seven Football Bowl Subdivision games in Week 9 with totals over 60.

Vaughn Blue, who ran for 50 yards in Liberty’s season-opening win, is out for the Flames.

For Western Kentucky, receiver Blue Smith is questionable after missing the last four games.

Coming into the season, Western Kentucky had the best odds at +120 to win the Conference USA title, with Liberty second at +250. Liberty’s odds to capture the Conference USA crown are now at -150, followed by Western Kentucky at +180.

Ball Security Key to Liberty’s Rise

In the five games lost by Liberty last season, the Flames finished -6 in turnover margin, with the 27 giveaways playing a role in Liberty going 4-4 in one-score games during the 2022 season.

In showdown with Western Kentucky, Liberty has to limit turnovers, or “it’s going to cost us dearly” | Tap on the picture to learn more 🔽 https://t.co/YSjKaZ29nt

— NewsAdvance.com (@newsadvance) October 23, 2023

It has been a different deal this year, with Liberty having more takeaways than turnovers lost in five of the seven games. The +9 turnover margin is tied for third nationally behind Penn State and Oklahoma. Keep that in mind when looking at our college football odds.

After throwing 15 interceptions a season ago, Liberty has been intercepted just three times during the 7-0 start. It is a risky pick, but consider the odds of a non-offensive touchdown being scored

College Football Pick: Defensive or special teams TD scored – YES (+175)

Hilltoppers Ready to Hit Ground Running

Western Kentucky tends to get out of the gate pretty well, ranking sixth nationally with an average of 11.7 points in the first quarter of games.

It is downhill from there as the Hilltoppers put up fewer points in the second half of games than they did in the opening quarter.

Since losing to Ohio State, the Hilltoppers have outscored their opponents 48-7 in the first quarter.

However, Western Kentucky struggles to stop teams in the second quarter, and that tends to wash away much of the strong work early in games.

MLB Pick: Team to Score First – Western Kentucky (+103)

Liberty vs Western Kentucky Betting Odds

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Go With Liberty to Remain Perfect

Liberty has covered in its first three games when listed as the road favorite, with Western Kentucky the underdog at home for the first time this season

There is little recent history between the teams, and the difference between them could be the play of the two defenses.

Western Kentucky has allowed the most yards per game of any team in Conference USA, and giving up 562 yards to nationally-ranked Ohio State hasn’t helped their defensive stats.

The teams rank near the bottom of Conference USA in tackles for loss, so this could be a game where the offenses take over.

Liberty’s Kaidon Salter leads Conference USA in passing efficiency, with Western Kentucky’s Austin Reed leading the way in passing yards per game.

When it comes to the choices in our sportsbook, the difference might be Liberty’s Quinton Cooley, the leading rusher in Conference USA.

College Football Pick: Liberty -4