X
Skip to content

Top 25 Week 6 Best Bets: Roll With Pair of Underdogs

The most highly anticipated game of the weekend in college football features No. 12 Oklahoma against No. 3 Texas. While the Longhorns look to keep rolling after being springboarded by their 34-24 win over Alabama, proceeding to win the next three games by a combined 79 points, the Sooners have put on quite the show themselves.

Behind the stellar play of quarterback Dillon Gabriel, Oklahoma has matched Texas’ 5-0 start while winning its previous three games by a ridiculous 93 points, a stretch that also included just a 14-point win over Cincinnati. Both offenses are playing exceptional right now, with the Sooners averaging 510 yards of total offense and the Longhorns coming in just behind with 478.4 yards per game.

Top 25 Week 6 Best Bets: Roll With Pair of Underdogs
Wide receiver Tre Harris #9 of the Mississippi Rebels | Michael Chang/Getty Images/AFP

And while there’s plenty of praise (rightfully) going in the direction of Gabriel, Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers has put together a stellar season in his own right, doing it with both his arm and his legs. Ewers has scored 15 total touchdowns, including eight over the past three games (four passing and four rushing), while completing 71.4 percent or more of his passes in the team’s two recent blowout victories over Kansas and Baylor.

Ewers and Gabriel will be the headliners of this matchup, and the Oklahoma quarterback has shown he can do it with his legs as well, scoring three touchdowns on the ground over the past two weeks to go with four passing touchdowns. And while Gabriel has completed 75.2 percent of his passes on the season, a Red Rivalry date with the Texas pass defense will be a massive test for him.

The Vegas odds for college football predict this one to go in favor of Texas, and even have the Longhorns as nearly a full touchdown favorite. It’s hard to deny how impressive Texas has looked, but I’m going buy the half point and grab Oklahoma at +7½ and also add a side lean on the Sooners moneyline at +203.

 

Top 25 Upset Watch as LSU Travels to Face Missouri

The Missouri Tigers are doing their all to prove to the nation that they’re the real deal, and a home matchup against the LSU Tigers should make for must-watch television. Based on the numbers, we should see quite a quarterback duel between LSU’s Jayden Daniels and Missouri’s Brady Cook.


Both LSU and Missouri have allowed opponents to air it out against their respective defenses, giving up 260.2 and 242.4 passing yards per game this season. The real question mark is if Missouri’s run defense can continue to play at this level, as its allowing fewer than 75 rushing yards per game on average.

Along with the signal-callers, expect to see the premier pass-catchers for both teams show up in a big way with their own duel. LSU’s Malik Nabers (40 catches, 625 yards, five touchdowns) and Missouri’s Luther Burden III (43 catches, 644 yards, five touchdowns) are among two of the best in the nation.

Interestingly, I think there’s a chance that neither of the quarterbacks or receivers winds up making the difference late in a few key spots. Mizzou’s Cody Schrader could be primed to build off a solid start to the season in a very solid spot. The LSU defense has allowed 169.2 rushing yards per game on the season, and we just saw Ole Miss running back Quinshon Judkins run all over them to the tune of 177 yards and one touchdown on 33 attempts.

Schrader has the ability to ease the pressure on the passing game for Missouri while giving Cook and Burden more time and space to work with. If LSU’s struggles against the run are a factor again this week, I think we see Missouri utilize Schrader well and pull off the upset as nearly a one-touchdown underdog.

The general pick will be on Missouri with a half-point being bought to make them +7, but I’ll roll with them on the moneyline as well. For good measure, if you want to really soak in the two underdog picks here on the moneyline for this week’s college football picks, at least toss around the idea of parlaying the Oklahoma moneyline with the Missouri moneyline, which clocks in just north of +800.

Ole Miss Keeps Foot on the Gas vs. Arkansas

As the Arkansas Razorbacks are reeling a bit with three consecutive losses, albeit by a combined 22 points in a stretch with games against BYU, LSU and Texas A&M, Ole Miss is feeling a bit of momentum. While the loss to Alabama was a disappointing setback, the Rebels rallied to topple LSU in a wild shootout 55-49 to move to 4-1 on the season.

For good measure, Arkansas has still averaged 33.6 points per game this season, but it clocks in a full 11 points behind Ole Miss, which has racked up an average of 44.6 points per game, ranking No. 6 in the country. And while both teams can put points on the board, they’ve also allowed opponents to do the same, with the Razorbacks giving up 34-plus points in the three games mentioned above and Ole Miss allowing 49 to LSU, 24 to Alabama and 20-plus in back-to-back games against Tulane and Georgia Tech.

Although a total set at 63½ feels a bit daunting to consider, the Ole Miss offense can put up major points, but Arkansas should be able to do the same. I like this tease spot quite a bit with the expectation that the Rebels defend home field and avoid the letdown after a huge LSU win, but Arkansas once again keeps it close against a Top 25 team.

College Football Pick: 6.5-point teaser on Ole Miss to -5½ and over 57

Can Jimbo Fisher and Texas A&M Halt Alabama’s Turnaround?

Following a tough 34-24 loss to Texas in the second game of the season for Alabama, Nick Saban’s squad pieced together a fairly ugly win over South Florida before getting things going with victories over Ole Miss and Mississippi State. Interestingly, it’s been a similar narrative for Texas A&M, though, which fell on the road to Miami (FL) 48-33 and proceeded to bounce back with three double-digit victories, allowing just 35 points over that stretch and only 10 points to Auburn in a 27-10 victory.

Since Saban named Jalen Milroe the official starting quarterback after watching shaky performances from Ty Simpson and Tyler Buchner in the USF win, the Crimson Tide have kicked things into gear, even without needing a ton from Milroe passing at times. In Alabama’s 40-17 win over Mississippi State, the sophomore signal-caller attempted just 12 passes, completing 10 of them for 164 yards, but impressed using his legs, totaling 69 rushing yards and two scores on the ground.

Although Texas A&M has a few players offensively capable of changing games quickly, including wide receiver Evan Stewart, who has 24 catches for 357 yards and four scores, its defense has been a talking point. The Aggies have allowed only 253.8 total yards per game and less than 100 per game on the ground.

This is going to be a serious test for Alabama heading to College Station and while they’re two-point favorites, I’m going to buy the half point and go the other way with this week’s college football prediction on Saban’s squad — taking the Aggies at home with the points.


ACC Shootout Pits Miami vs Surprising Opponent

The more I keep going back to look at this week’s matchup for the Miami Hurricanes, the more I just see a whole lot of touchdowns. While Miami, which remains undefeated at 4-0, is at home against a 2-3 Georgia Tech team, the Yellow Jackets’ record doesn’t tell the entire story.

Although Miami ranks inside the top 10 this season in points scored per game at 43.8, Georgia Tech finds themselves in the mix as well offensively in the rankings. The Yellow Jacket have averaged 32.4 points per game, which is more than Alabama, UCLA and Missouri, to name a few.

This can largely be attributed to the Yellow Jackets’ impressive numbers both passing (300 yards per game) and rushing (167.4 per game). But on the flip side, their 2-3 record can at least somewhat be attributed to the fact they’ve also allowed north of 200 passing and 220 rushing yards.

Behind quarterback Haynes King, who’s thrown for 1,480 yards and 15 touchdowns, the Georgia Tech offense hasn’t looked bad at all, scoring 34 against Louisville, 23 against Ole Miss, 30 against Wake Forest and 27 in a loss to Bowling Green. If they can put up 20-24 points against Miami, which has allowed 225 passing yards per game but has been elite against opposing rushing attacks, we’re going to see the total of 57½ cleared with a decent amount of ease.

Miami’s defense has held its last two opponents to just one touchdown each, but those were in blowout wins over Temple and Bethune Cookman. Texas A&M scored 33 in the Hurricanes’ 48-33 victory just prior to that. Georgia Tech has the talent to score 20-plus points, and if it does, we’d just need Miami to push near the -21 point spread to clear the cover, and I think we see another high-scoring affair in Miami on Saturday.

 

Did you find this article interesting?

Comments (0)

Featured College Football Picks

Related News