The contenders look to further distance themselves from the pretenders and perhaps the four games between ranked teams will help with that process. None of them are showing up in the Week 6 college football upset picks. However, ranked teams Miami and Ole Miss could be on upset watch.
There are nine ranked teams playing on the road in Week 6 and that could make for a surprise or two when the college football results start rolling in.
There are 22 Football Bowl Subdivision teams that are still undefeated and 17 come from Power-5 conferences. That number is guaranteed to drop with two matchups of undefeated teams set this weekend.
Even though Utah and Arkansas failed to come through in Week 5, we did hit on the North Carolina State and Baylor games as upset specials in Week 5 with a punt return for a touchdown by Texas A&M proving to be the difference between Arkansas covering or coming up short.
We have highlighted four games in Week 5 where it would be wise to keep tabs on the underdog as part of the NCAAF free picks and parlays to consider. Five ranked teams are listed as underdogs in Week 6 thanks in large part to four games between ranked opponents.
UCF (+1½) at Kansas
- Saturday, Oct. 7, 4 p.m. ET (FOX)
Why not go back to UCF once again since it worked so well last weekend?
This time, however, we are rolling with the Knights as the underdog against Kansas.
It can be a little challenging to get a read on the new teams to join the Big 12 as Brigham Young, Cincinnati, Houston and UCF are 1-7 in conference play with BYU’s lone win coming at the expense of Cincinnati. However, we are not sold on Kansas even if the Jayhawks are 5-1 against the spread as a home favorite since the start of the 2022 season.
These teams haven’t met before so there is some risk assigned to this projection. If UCF limits the penalties and the turnovers, this is a chance for the Knights to pick up their first Big 12 win.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+21½) at Clemson Tigers
- Saturday, Oct. 7, 3:30 p.m. ET (ACC Network)
Wake Forest is reeling with their former quarterback Sam Hartman thriving at Notre Dame and the Demon Deacons are one of three ACC teams yet to hit the 1,000-yard mark in the passing game.
Wake Forest has to bounce back after falling to Georgia Tech at home a week ago. Next up is a Clemson team that has won 14 straight versus the Demon Deacons. However, Wake Forest has covered in six of the last nine games against the Tigers and the 21½-point line set by the sportsbook does seem a bit on the high side.
Expect to see Clemson extend its winning ways in this series, but Wake Forest should be able to do enough to cover.
— Clemson Football (@ClemsonFB) October 3, 2023
Arkansas Razorbacks (+12) at Ole Miss Rebels
- Saturday, Oct. 7, 7:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network)
Even though Arkansas let us down a week ago, we are going back to the Razorbacks for our final upset pick of the week.
Five of the last eight meetings between Ole Miss and Arkansas finished as one-score games and let’s not forget that when the teams last played, it was the Razorbacks who came out on top. Keep that in mind when considering the best college football bets for Oct. 7.
Star running back Raheim Sanders, who rushed for 232 yards and three scores in the 42-27 win in 2022, returned after missing the previous three games. He didn’t look like he was 100% but perhaps seeing many of the same players that he left in the dust in the previous matchup will get one of the top running backs in the country going. Three players topped 200 rushing yards in the 2022 meeting between the Razorbacks and Rebels.
Arkansas has shown signs of improvement when it comes to stopping the run this season. However, only Vanderbilt and LSU allow more rushing yards among SEC teams than Ole Miss. This has the feel of another game coming down to the wire and that makes a double-digit line in favor of the Rebels rather tempting bait.
— Arkansas Razorback Football (@RazorbackFB) October 1, 2023
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+21) at Miami Hurricanes
- Saturday, Oct. 7, 8 p.m. ET (ACC Network)
Anybody who has watched the Miami (Florida) team play in recent seasons is fully aware that there might not be another team in the country that plays up or down to the competition more than the Hurricanes.
Miami can play with anybody but also can struggle against weaker competition.
Georgia Tech’s win over Wake Forest shows that the Yellow Jackets are getting better and Miami has covered in just four of its last eight games as a 20-point favorite.
Georgia Tech has covered the last three times that the Yellow Jackets made the trip to the Sunshine State to face the Hurricanes and even came away with an outright win back in 2019.
The Hurricanes should remain undefeated but don’t be surprised to see Georgia Tech make favored Miami work for this victory
— Georgia Tech Football (@GeorgiaTechFB) September 30, 2023